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ASML Holding NV (ASML) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Mon. Jan 12, 2026

The introduction of High-NA EUV technology signifies ASML's commitment to innovation and positioning within the competitive semiconductor market. This advancement, while promising, highlights the complexities associated with the technological transition to high NA EUV systems, revealing both hurdles and strategic advantages for the company. Continued investment in product development remains crucial as ASML navigates these challenges. The ability to innovate while managing transition risks will be pivotal for future growth.

The price action of ASML Holding NV (ASML) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 2.3 is extremely bullish. The market sentiment at 2.2 is extremely bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.ASML is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 2.3, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-12. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (6.2), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.8), Stock Price Trend (2.3), Option Sentiment (1.5), Sector Price Trend (1.5), and Market Risk Appetite (0.1) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-01-28 06:30, EPS: $28.28, P/E: 45.31

ASML
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-120%(0%)      1281.23 97    0.58%    1.79%    2.3    0.38%    2.6%    2.2    Long    60%    2.8    -1   
2026-01-110%(0%)    2.6    0.2%    1.9          4    -1   
2026-01-100%(0%)    2.6    0.2%    1.7          4.2    -1   
2026-01-090%(0%)      1273.88 103    6.66%    1.83%    2.6    0.2%    2.7%    1.8    Long    60%    4.2    -1   
2026-01-080%(0%)      1194.32 83    -2.78%    1.17%    2.5    -0.17%    1.8%    2.1    Short    65%    4.4    -1   
2026-01-070%(0%)      1228.47 100    -1.1%    1.55%    3    0.02%    0.4%    2    Short    70%    4.1    8   
2026-01-060%(0%)      1242.19 114    1.14%    1.7%    3.4    0.33%    2.2%    2.3    Long    60%    4.3    -1   
2026-01-050%(0%)      1228.19 126    5.53%    1.79%    3.2    0.66%    4.7%    2.1    Short    70%    4.1    7   
2026-01-040%(0%)    2.3    0.58%    1.8          3.4    -1   
2026-01-030%(0%)    2.3    0.39%    1.9          3.3    -1   
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-01-12 17:05:50 A slower-than-expected transition to high NA EUV systems reflects both challenges and opportunities in ASML's product development strategy.
2026-01-12 17:05:50 The fair value estimation of ASML shares suggests a potential for appreciation based on future earnings potential.
2026-01-12 17:05:50 Despite short-term challenges, analysts see potential for growth driven by AI and demand for high NA EUV systems.
2026-01-12 17:05:50 The uncertainty regarding revenue from China poses risks for ASML's near-term earnings outlook while stabilizing in the long term.
2026-01-12 17:05:50 The articles indicate a positive uptick in the stock performance of ASML, showing short-term gain.


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