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| ASML is experiencing strong momentum in product/service development, significantly driven by advancements in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) technology and increased capital investments from major clients like TSMC. The demand for manufacturing equipment is surging, which positively impacts the financial health of semiconductor equipment manufacturers. However, challenges in transitioning to high numerical aperture (NA) EUV systems present both hurdles and opportunities in optimizing product development strategies. Overall, the landscape remains promising with the ongoing evolution in semiconductor manufacturing technologies. |
| The price action of ASML Holding NV (ASML) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 2.3 is extremely bullish. The market sentiment at 2.2 is extremely bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.ASML is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 2.3, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-16. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.3), Valuation Sentiment (3.3), Stock Price Trend (2.3), Market Risk Appetite (1.8), Option Sentiment (1.5), and Sector Price Trend (1.4) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| ASML | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(0.1%) | 1358.77 | 95 | 2.04% | 1.56% | 2.3 | 0.35% | 2.7% | 2.2 | Long | 60% | 4.3 | 7.3 |
| 2026-01-15 | 0%(0%) | 1331.6 | 94 | 5.37% | 2.14% | 3.2 | 0.2% | 2.8% | 2.4 | Long | 60% | 3.6 | 7 |
| 2026-01-14 | 0%(0%) | 1263.72 | 83 | -0.51% | 1.6% | 2 | -0.06% | 0.7% | 2 | Wait | 50% | 3.3 | -1 |
| 2026-01-13 | 0%(0%) | 1270.16 | 89 | -0.86% | 1.73% | 2.3 | 0% | 0.3% | 2.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | -1 |
| 2026-01-12 | 0%(0%) | 1281.23 | 97 | 0.58% | 1.79% | 2.3 | 0.38% | 2.6% | 2.2 | Long | 60% | 2.8 | -1 |
| 2026-01-11 | 0%(0%) | 2.6 | 0.2% | 1.9 | 4 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 0%(0%) | 2.6 | 0.2% | 1.7 | 4.2 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 0%(0%) | 1273.88 | 103 | 6.66% | 1.83% | 2.6 | 0.2% | 2.7% | 1.8 | Long | 60% | 4.2 | -1 |
| 2026-01-08 | 0%(0%) | 1194.32 | 83 | -2.78% | 1.17% | 2.5 | -0.17% | 1.8% | 2.1 | Short | 65% | 4.4 | -1 |
| 2026-01-07 | 0%(0%) | 1228.47 | 100 | -1.1% | 1.55% | 3 | 0.02% | 0.4% | 2 | Short | 70% | 4.1 | 8 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (8) ASML hits record high on AI boost — and analysts see plenty of room to run Dutch semiconductor equipment maker ASML became just the third European company to his a valuation of over $500 billion on Thursday. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 2 (9) AI Tech Boom Supercharges ASML To Half Trillion Market Cap Morgan Stanley and RBC Capital see significant upside in ASML stock as AI-driven chip investment accelerates. Strong TSMC capital spending, rising demand for EUV tools and memory upgrades are boosting the semiconductor equipment outlook. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 3 (8) Morgan Stanley Sees 70% Surge for ASML Shares in Bull Case Morgan Stanley laid out its bullish case for why investors should buy ASML Holding NV shares, saying in the most optimistic scenario the stock has a 70% rally ahead as chipmakers ramp up spending to meet soaring demand for artificial intelligence. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 4 (8) Morgan Stanley Sees 70% Surge for ASML Shares in Bull Case The Dutch semiconductor equipment maker is one of the bank’s top stock picks. Morgan Stanley analysts said they’re even more positive after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., ASML’s biggest client, showed the AI spending boom isn’t slowing down. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 5 (8) ASML, Lam Research, Applied Materials Surge. Why Chip Stocks Are Getting a Boost. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's heavy spending is great news for companies which sell machinery and other tools for chip manufacturing. (https://www.barrons.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||