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| Recent developments highlight the increasing interest and volatility in the cryptocurrency markets, particularly with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the discussions. Coinbase's push for regulations indicates a maturation of the crypto landscape, while various cryptocurrencies frequently capture media attention. However, significant price fluctuations and ongoing regulatory concerns continue to create uncertainty. Investors remain intrigued by the potential for growth despite a turbulent year and the challenges posed by market dynamics. The price action of Cryptocurrencies (BITO) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.8 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.BITO is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-17. The forces of Asset Sentiment (2.2), Asset Price Trend (1.8), and Option Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on BITO trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| BITO | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 2%(2%) | 1.8 | 0% | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2.3 | |||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 2%(2.1%) | 13.25 | 83 | 0.3% | 0.78% | 1.8 | 0% | 1.1% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 2.4 | -1.1 |
| 2026-01-15 | 3%(2%) | 13.21 | 82 | -2.62% | 0.78% | 1.2 | 0% | 1.2% | 1.2 | Short | 70% | 2.8 | -1.2 |
| 2026-01-14 | 3%(1.9%) | 13.57 | 105 | 3.43% | 1.59% | 2.4 | 0.76% | 2.4% | 1.3 | Long | 60% | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2%(1.7%) | 13.12 | 89 | 3.35% | 0.8% | 0.9 | 0% | 1.4% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 2026-01-12 | 1%(1.7%) | 12.69 | 56 | 1.36% | 0% | 0.1 | 0% | 0.6% | 1.1 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| 2026-01-11 | 1%(1.9%) | 0.9 | 0% | 1 | 2.9 | 5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 3%(2%) | 0.9 | 0% | 1 | 2.8 | 1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 1%(1.9%) | 12.52 | 39 | -0.75% | 0.81% | 0.9 | 0% | 0.6% | 1.2 | Long | 60% | 2.6 | 5 |
| 2026-01-08 | 2%(2%) | 12.62 | 45 | -0.08% | -0.8% | 0.8 | 0% | 0.8% | 1.3 | Long | 60% | 3.2 | -0.4 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Bitcoin Rebounds as Sentiment Stabilizes on December 3, 2025 Wed. Dec 3, 2025 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (5) 1 Spectacular Cryptocurrency That Could Soar by 1,159%, According to Cathie Wood Cryptocurrencies are coming off a rough year in 2025, but there could be significant upside ahead over the long term. (https://www.fool.com/) Sat. Jan 17, 2026 | ||
| 2 (0) Brendan Greeley Save Friday, 12 December, 2025 The Long View Cryptocurrencies Can bitcoin bonds fund economic development? Save Thursday, 4 September, 2025 Unhedged Podcast 29 min listen What’s a central bank supposed to do? Save Saturday, 9 August, 2025 The Long View Cryptocurrencies The futile loneliness of a crypto short. (https://www.ft.com/) Sat. Jan 17, 2026 | ||
| 3 (2) West Virginia Lawmakers Propose Bitcoin Investments With State Funds ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Sat. Jan 17, 2026 | ||
| 4 (7) Burger Chain Steak 'n Shake Just Supersized Its Bitcoin Holdings Iconic American burger chain Steak ‘n Shake has added $10 million worth of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) to its balance sheet. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Sat. Jan 17, 2026 | ||
| 5 (-7) DOGE Bleeds $39.29M Today As Dogecoin And Shiba Inu Both Break Support Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) saw $39.29M exit Friday—the biggest single-day outflow in months—as both DOGE and Shiba Inu (https://www.benzinga.com/) Sat. Jan 17, 2026 | ||
| 6 (7) Here Are All 50 Cryptocurrencies That U.S. Investors Can Buy on Robinhood. These 3 Are the Best of the Bunch The popular online brokerage Robinhood has become a go-to spot for retail investors to purchase cryptocurrencies. (https://www.fool.com/) Sat. Jan 17, 2026 | ||
| 7 (-5) The Clarity Act Has Stalled, Hitting Crypto Prices. What You Need to Know. Movement in the Clarity Act, a market structure bill that creates a regulatory framework for crypto, has stalled following disagreements over draft text. (https://www.investopedia.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 8 (5) Tokenization will determine whether Solana can close the valuation gap with Ethereum, says analyst Bitwise's Danny Nelson says Solana’s growing activity is obvious, but real world assets and institutional use cases may decide how it is ultimately valued. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 9 (-5) Quantum threat forces 63-year old investment bank to abandon Bitcoin Rising quantum computing risks revive doubts over Bitcoin’s long-term security. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 10 (2) In 2025, Bitcoin Fell 6% And Gold Rose 65%—But Cathie Wood Says BTC Will Win In 2026 Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) fell 6% in 2025 while gold surged 65%, but ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood says Bitcoin wins in 2026 because gold ju (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 11 (-4) Canaan Stock Falls After Nasdaq Compliance Notice, Bitcoin Mining Metrics Jump Canaan Inc – ADR (NASDAQ:CAN) shares are trading lower Friday afternoon after the crypto-mining hardware maker disclosed it has fallen out of compliance with Nasdaq's mi (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 12 (-3) California and Manhattan crackdown tighten pressure on crypto lenders A California regulatory action is complicating plans for a crypto lender hoping to re-enter the U.S. market. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 13 (2) Bitcoin, XRP Prices Fall After Crypto Bill Delay. Here’s What Happens Next. Bitcoin, XRP and other cryptocurrencies fell Friday but it’s still looking like a good week for digital assets despite delays to key legislation. (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 14 (-7) Bank Of America CEO Warns $6 Trillion Could Flee To Stablecoins—Here's Why Banks Are Terrified Bank of America warns yield-paying stablecoins could drain $6T in bank deposits, reshaping lending, funding costs, and crypto regulation battles. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 15 (2) Bitcoin’s rally wasn’t enough to push it past $100K this week. Here’s what it needs to get out of this rut. Bitcoin’s rally this week is similar to the ones it saw during its 2022 bear market. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 16 (-4) A Look Behind The Curtains Of Iran's $7.8 Billion Crypto Economy Iran’s crypto ecosystem hit $7.8 billion in 2025, split between state-controlled military networks and civilians fleeing a currency that’s lost 90% of its value since 2018, according to Chainalysis research. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 17 (2) Bitcoin Approaches $100,000, But Here's Why That May Be A Bull Trap Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is slowly pushing up to $100,000, but traders warn the zone offers little clarity on near-term bullish or bearish direction. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 18 (-4) Most large cryptocurrencies fall on Tronix, Dogecoin drops Most large cryptocurrencies were down during U.S. morning trading on Friday, with Tronix Tron USD seeing the biggest move, declining 1.59% to 31 cents. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 19 (8) China-led cross-border digital currency platform sees surge Transactions on a new China-led digital currency platform have surged to over $55 billion, a new report shows, the latest sign that efforts to build alternatives to dollar-dependent global payment systems are gaining traction. Data crunched by the Washington-based Atlantic Council showed the prototype 'mBridge' platform, which is being tested by central banks in China, Hong Kong, Thailand, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, had now processed more than 4,000 cross-border transactions. The cumulative $55.5 billion value of those payments represents a roughly 2,500-fold increase since the project's early days of 2022, with the digital yuan estimated to now account for approximately 95% of the volume. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 20 (-4) Coinbase CEO says key crypto vote can be rescheduled after 11th hour cancellation Major crypto bill flounders as crypto, banks remain at odds over who can offer consumers rewards. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
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