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| Recent developments indicate a strong momentum in the industry, particularly with the rise of robotaxis and autonomous mobility. Notable companies are making significant advancements while sales trends remain positive amidst ongoing discussions in the EV market. However, challenges such as chip shortages and rising prices of vehicles coupled with high interest rates pose concerns for consumer financing. Despite these hurdles, a government relief program for auto loans could provide some needed support. The price action of Automobiles (CARZ) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. The market sentiment at 0.4 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.CARZ is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Automobiles sector is at 0.7, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-16. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (1.8), Option Sentiment (1.5), Sector Price Trend (0.7), and Broad Market Trend (0.2) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), Valuation Sentiment (-0.5), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on CARZ trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| CARZ | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | 0%(0%) | 84.06 | 83 | 0.31% | 0.36% | 0.7 | 0.12% | 0.5% | 0.4 | Long | 65% | -1 | -2.5 |
| 2026-01-15 | 0%(0%) | 83.8 | 83 | 0.28% | 0.73% | 1 | 0% | 0.8% | 0.3 | Wait | 50% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2026-01-14 | 0%(0%) | 83.57 | 85 | -0.51% | 0.61% | 0.6 | 0% | 0.3% | 0.4 | Wait | 50% | -1 | 5.5 |
| 2026-01-13 | 0%(0%) | 84 | 92 | 0.36% | 0.74% | 0.9 | 0% | 0.4% | 0.3 | Wait | 50% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2026-01-12 | 0%(0.1%) | 83.7 | 95 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8 | 0.12% | 0.9% | 0.1 | Wait | 50% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2026-01-11 | 0%(0.3%) | 0.9 | 0% | 0.1 | -1 | 7.5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 0%(0.4%) | 0.9 | 0% | 0.1 | -1 | 6.5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 0%(0.4%) | 83.28 | 98 | 2.02% | 0.62% | 0.9 | 0% | 0.9% | 0.3 | Wait | 50% | -1 | 3.2 |
| 2026-01-08 | 0%(0.4%) | 81.64 | 85 | -1.13% | 0.38% | 0.9 | 0% | 0.6% | 0.2 | Wait | 50% | -1 | 6.5 |
| 2026-01-07 | 0%(0.6%) | 82.57 | 100 | 0.49% | 0.63% | 1.2 | 0.12% | 0.8% | 0.1 | Wait | 50% | -1 | -0.5 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Bullish hourly trend pushes the price higher while the trend sentiment is positive. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (-2) Tesla gets 5-week extension in US probe of Full Self-Driving traffic violations Jan 16 (Reuters) - U.S. auto safety regulators have granted Tesla (TSLA) a five-week extension to respond to an investigation into whether its vehicles violated traffic laws while the Elon Musk-led company's Full Self-Driving system was engaged. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 2 (-4) Car Buyers Are Stretching Auto Loans Longer—And That Can Cost More Than It Seems Car loans are getting longer as prices rise and interest rates remain high. Lower monthly payments may look appealing, but long loan terms quietly raise costs—and risks. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 3 (-4) Automakers like Ford and GM are jumping into a whole new business where Tesla is a serious player Automakers Ford and GM are trying to figure out what to do with battery factories now that EV sales are falling way short of forecasts (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 4 (8) Toyota Industries shares jump after Toyota Motor raises buyout offer to over $35 billion Toyota Motor sweetened the tender offer price for buying out the carmaker by more than 15% to over $35 billion. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
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