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| Gold has reached record highs fueled by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty, solidifying its status as a favored safe-haven asset. Despite some skepticism from analysts regarding its status, investor sentiment remains predominantly bullish. The SPDR Gold ETF, an indicator of gold's performance, is expected to thrive in this environment, attracting significant attention from market participants. Overall, gold's position is strengthened by its historical value storage capabilities amid fluctuating market dynamics. The price action of Gold (GLD) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. The market sentiment at 1.5 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.GLD is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.6, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-16. The forces of Asset Sentiment (4.7), Option Sentiment (1), and Asset Price Trend (0.7) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on GLD trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| GLD | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | 2%(1.7%) | 421.3 | 78 | -0.48% | 0.55% | 0.7 | -0.05% | 0.5% | 1.5 | Wait | 50% | 4.7 | 1.2 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1%(1.6%) | 423.34 | 87 | -0.61% | 0.66% | 0.9 | 0.02% | 0.3% | 1.7 | Wait | 50% | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| 2026-01-14 | 3%(1.6%) | 425.94 | 98 | 1.02% | 0.66% | 1 | 0.02% | 0.4% | 1.8 | Wait | 50% | 5.4 | 3.1 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(1.3%) | 421.66 | 94 | -0.12% | 0.56% | 0.7 | 0.07% | 0.9% | 1.5 | Wait | 50% | 4.8 | 0.8 |
| 2026-01-12 | 4%(1.3%) | 422.18 | 101 | 1.86% | 0.12% | 1 | 0.14% | 1.4% | 1.6 | Short | 88% | 5.4 | 3.4 |
| 2026-01-11 | 0%(1.1%) | 1 | 0.05% | 1.5 | 5.2 | 0 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 1%(1.1%) | 1 | 0.05% | 1.4 | 5.1 | 5.7 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 1%(1.1%) | 414.48 | 85 | 0.72% | 0.07% | 1 | 0.05% | 0.6% | 1.7 | Wait | 50% | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| 2026-01-08 | 1%(1.3%) | 411.5 | 78 | 0.55% | -0.05% | 0.8 | 0% | 0.4% | 1.5 | Wait | 50% | 4.6 | 0.6 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1%(1.4%) | 409.23 | 74 | -0.95% | 0.02% | 0.8 | 0% | 0.4% | 1.7 | Long | 65% | 4.7 | -1.1 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (-2) Debasement and Liquidity Stress: Two Gold Drivers in 2026 The ongoing debasement trade and liquidity stress are two drivers for gold in 2026, according to a recent Sprott Precious Metals Report. (https://www.etftrends.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 2 (-3) Gold Dips Below $4,600 An Ounce On Dollar Strength Gold dipped from recent record highs to trade below $4,600 an ounce on Friday as strong jobless claims data coupled with cautious comments from several Federal Reserve officials prompted traders to pare rate-cut expectations. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 3 (-2) Gold Slides Amid Cooling U.S.-Iran Escalation, Gains In U.S. Dollar Gold edged lower on Friday as the geopolitical tension in the Middle East faded after the U.S. adopted a "wait-and-watch" stance in Iran, contrary to its earlier proposed military intervention. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 4 (-5) Stocks Dip; Gold, Oil, & Crypto Rip As Trump Triggers Chaotic Week ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 5 (0) CFTC Gold speculative net positions Get the CFTC Gold speculative net positions results in real time as they're announced and see the immediate global market impact. (https://www.investing.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 6 (8) Why So Many Stocks Are Suddenly Defying Gravity AI demand and Trump-era policy shifts are fueling rallies in semiconductors, metals, banks, and even gold miners. (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 7 (3) Goldman Sachs Investment Banking To Grow 15% In 2026: Analyst Goldman Sachs (GS) reports mixed Q4 results due to losses in Platform Solutions and termination costs. BofA raises price forecast to $1,100. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 8 (-2) Silver Looks Overextended as Parabolic Gains Stretch Well Past Historical Norms Market Analysis by covering: Gold Spot US Dollar, Silver Spot US Dollar, Gold Futures, Silver Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 9 (6) 3 Metals Stocks Bank of America Is Bullish on for 2026 Market Analysis by covering: Gold Spot US Dollar, Silver Spot US Dollar, Cameco Corp, Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 10 (0) Andrew Maguire's 2026 Gold & Silver Forecast ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 11 (7) Precious Metal Miners Outshine Markets — But Can The Rally Really Last? With gold above $4,600, mining stocks are soaring. LPL's Thomas Shipp says strong earnings and low valuations still support further upside. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 12 (5) Gold Remains Structurally Bid Above the Weekly Mean Despite Short-Term Noise Market Analysis by covering: Gold Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 13 (-2) Gold Falls as Trump Hesitates on Hassett as Fed Chair Pick Trump on Friday said if Hassett were to leave his post as director of the National Economic Council, it would deprive the administration of one of its most powerful messengers on the economy. Hassett has been seen as a top contender to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The dollar pared losses after Trump’s remarks while Treasury yields advanced, sending bullion lower by as much as 1.7%. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 14 (0) European stocks inch lower as Greenland remains in focus; gold and silver prices dip The pan-European Stoxx 600 finished the previous session 0.6% higher, with most major bourses and sectors in positive territory. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 15 (5) Gold, silver record climb has hint of 'Sell America' trade in it Gold (GC=F) and silver prices (SI=F) climb to yet another set of record highs on Wednesday. Wilmington Trust chief economist Luke Tilley comments on the safe haven nature of commodities, while Argent Capital Management portfolio manager Jed Ellerbroek explains how Amazon (AMZN) is his firm's best idea for 2026. Tilley previously served as an economic advisor for the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. Also catch Luke Tilley discuss the avenues the Federal Reserve could go to maintain independence from the Trump administration. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Domination. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 16 (2) Posthaste: Canada's gaining ground in overseas trade — too bad it's a head fake A breakdown of the trade data reveals most of the gains are due to gold, the price of which has surged 70% since last January. Read more (https://financialpost.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 17 (7) The 2026 Survival Kit: Gold, Defense, and Trash A portfolio built on physical gold, national defense, and waste management offers a strategic path to capital appreciation and reliable dividend income. (https://www.marketbeat.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 18 (-2) Gold Slips From Record Highs Gold drifted lower on Thursday after surging to new highs on Wednesday. Spot gold fell half a percent to $4,605.10 an ounce amid easing geopolitical tensions and Fed independence concerns. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 19 (-3) Gold Slides Amid Profit-Booking, Reduced U.S.-Iran Tensions As investors resorted to booking profits from yesterday's record highs, gold prices moved lower on Thursday. In addition, the softening of the U.S. stance on Iran allayed concerns of an immediate conflict in the Middle East and trimmed safe-haven demand. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 20 (2) Goldman: Go Long The Gold/Silver Ratio ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 21 (8) Why The Gold Stock Rally Isn’t Over Yet Gold and mining stocks surged in 2025. A new research note lays out why the gold trade may just be getting started. (https://www.forbes.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 22 (0) Gold Futures Show Late-Cycle Behavior as Time and Price Compress Market Analysis by covering: Gold Spot US Dollar, Gold Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 23 (2) CNBC Daily Open: Greenland and Iran tensions drive investors to gold and silver Global geopolitical turmoil, as well as Trump's apparent attack on the Fed, is pushing up the prices of gold and silver. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 24 (-4) Peter Schiff Warns Traders Taking Profits In Gold, Silver And Buying Bitcoin ETFs And MSTR Stock: 'That's A Big Mistake' Economist Peter Schiff questioned the sustainability of Bitcoin’s ongoing rally on Wednesday, arguing that investors are mistakenly rotating profits from commodities into cryptocurrency-linked assets. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 25 (7) 8 Mining Stocks to Capitalize on Gold’s Flying Start to 2026 Market Analysis by covering: Gold Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 26 (7) Why investors flock to gold when market volatility spikes Listen and subscribe to Stocks In Translation on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you find your favorite podcast. Gold (GC=F) is always on trend.In this episode of Stocks in Translation, RBC Capital Markets derivatives strategy head Amy Wu Silverman joins host Jared Blikre and Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Brooke DiPalma to discuss why gold continues to stand out as a reliable hedge amid market volatility. The conversation explores gold’s historical correlation during equity selloffs and why investors still favor physical gold over crypto during geopolitical stress and debasement trades.Check out the full episode here. Twice a week, Stocks In Translation cuts through the market mayhem, noisy numbers and hyperbole to give you the information you need to make the right trade for your portfolio. You can find more episodes here, or watch on your favorite streaming service. This post was written by Lauren Pokedoff (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
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