The performance of Treasuries is anticipated to improve as new sales are set to commence in 2026, fostering optimism among investors. However, concerns regarding interest rates and inflation have also emerged, creating a complex market environment. Recent significant movements in trading have brought more attention to these assets, suggesting an active trading atmosphere. Overall, the balance of expectations between growth potential and economic uncertainties is shaping this area. The price action of Intermediate Treasuries (IEF) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.8 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for IEF since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.8, and the negative at -0 on 2026-01-16. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Asset Sentiment (1.3), and Price Level Sentiment (0.5) will drive up the price. The forces of and Asset Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on IEF trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

IEF
Date	Attention	Price	Price Level	Change	SMA10 Trend	Trend Sentiment	Hourly Trend	Hourly StdDev	Market Sentiment	Action	P	Asset Sentiment	News Sentiment
2026-01-16	0%(0%)	95.93	1	-0.38%	0%	-0.1	0%	0.2%	0.8	Long	70%	1.3	-6
2026-01-15	0%(0%)	96.3	50	-0.21%	0%	-0.1	0%	0.1%	0.6	Wait	50%	1	0
2026-01-14	0%(0%)	96.5	64	0.21%	0%	0.1	0%	0.1%	0.7	Long	60%	1	0
2026-01-13	0%(0%)	96.3	50	0.12%	0%	0	0%	0.1%	0.7	Wait	50%	1.3	5
2026-01-12	0%(0%)	96.18	33	-0.12%	0%	0	0%	0.1%	1.3	Long	65%	3.7	3
2026-01-11	0%(0%)					-0.1	0%		0.5			2	0
2026-01-10	0%(0%)					-0.1	0%		0.5			2	0
2026-01-09	0%(0%)	96.3	50	0.11%	0%	-0.1	0%	0.1%	0.9	Wait	50%	2	0
2026-01-08	0%(0.1%)	96.19	21	-0.3%	0%	0	0%	0.1%	1	Long	70%	2	0
2026-01-07	0%(0.1%)	96.48	60	0.18%	0%	0.1	0%	0.1%	0.9	Long	60%	2	-4
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. The rebound is expected after the huge price drop today. The trend sentiment and hourly trend are not too bearish. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.