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| Netflix is currently navigating a complex landscape marked by subscriber dissatisfaction and significant adjustments in its content strategy. While the venture into podcasting represents a promising expansion and diversification of its offerings, challenges remain in live streaming services and reacting to customer feedback. Furthermore, efforts to introduce ad-supported tiers and live events aim to improve user retention and enhance monetization. Balancing these positive developments with negative responses is crucial for the company's future success. |
| The price action of Netflix (NFLX) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The market sentiment at -0.5 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for NFLX since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.3, and the negative at -0.8 on 2026-01-13. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-3.7), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-0.7), and Sector Price Trend (-0.2) will drive down the price. The forces of Stock Price Trend (-0), Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Option Sentiment (0.5), and Market Risk Appetite (0.9) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NFLX | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(0.1%) | 90.32 | 19 | 1.01% | -0.44% | -0 | 0% | 0.5% | -0.4 | Long | 60% | -0.7 | 3.6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 0%(0%) | 89.42 | 4 | -0.02% | -0.54% | 0.3 | 0% | 0.7% | -0.4 | Long | 60% | -1.1 | -4.5 |
| 2026-01-11 | 0%(0%) | 0.1 | 0% | -0.5 | -0.6 | 6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 0%(0%) | 0.1 | 0% | -0.4 | -0.1 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 0%(0.1%) | 89.44 | -5 | -1.21% | -0.43% | 0.1 | 0% | 0.8% | -0.1 | Long | 60% | -0.5 | -5.7 |
| 2026-01-08 | 0%(0.1%) | 90.53 | 5 | -0.21% | -0.32% | 0.1 | 0.11% | 0.5% | 0.3 | Long | 65% | 0.4 | 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | 0%(0.1%) | 90.73 | 4 | 0.13% | -0.32% | 0.1 | 0% | 0.6% | 0.2 | Long | 60% | 0.8 | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | 0%(0.1%) | 90.61 | -2 | -0.94% | -0.32% | -0.1 | 0% | 0.7% | 0.7 | Long | 80% | 1.1 | -1 |
| 2026-01-05 | 0%(0.1%) | 91.47 | 13 | 0.54% | -0.32% | 0.2 | -0.11% | 1.1% | 0.5 | Wait | 50% | 1.7 | -1 |
| 2026-01-04 | 0%(0.1%) | 0.5 | 0.13% | 0.3 | 1.5 | -1 | |||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. The hourly trend is almost flat and the price has reached close to the lower boundary of Bollinger band. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Netflix at $100.24: What Happened on December 5 and What’s Next? Sun. Dec 7, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-13 22:48:09 The competitive dynamics in the media streaming industry, particularly the rivalry between Netflix and other companies like Paramount Skydance concerning acquisition strategies. |
| 2026-01-13 22:48:09 This theme revolves around the selling of Netflix stock by congress members, hinting at possible insider knowledge and its impact on the stock market. |
| 2026-01-13 22:48:09 The theme of companies making all-cash bids in acquisitions, highlighting the financial strategy employed by Netflix in its proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. |
| 2026-01-13 17:51:10 Netflix’s stock performance shows positive movement correlated with reports of potential acquisition strategies, reflecting investor confidence in the company’s financial maneuvering. |
| 2026-01-13 17:51:10 The competitive landscape is highlighted by Paramount Skydance's proxy battle and multiple bids for Warner Bros. Discovery, showcasing the tension among streaming service providers. |
| 2026-01-13 17:51:10 Netflix is exploring amending its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery to an all-cash offer, indicating a strategic approach to significant acquisitions. |
| 2026-01-13 17:04:16 The competition among streaming services for control of media assets, such as Warner Bros Discovery, showcases the intense rivalry in the entertainment industry. |
| 2026-01-13 17:04:16 Netflix faces difficulties in its attempts to innovate in live TV streaming, reflecting challenges in product development. |
| 2026-01-13 17:04:16 The analysis of Netflix's stock following a recent rally and anticipation of future movements highlights investor interest. |
| 2026-01-13 17:04:16 There's optimism regarding Netflix's upcoming earnings report, suggesting positive market sentiment about its financial performance. |
| 2026-01-13 17:04:16 Netflix is actively seeking to acquire Warner Bros Discovery, indicating a focus on expansion through strategic partnerships. |