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NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Thu. Oct 17, 2024

Nvidia is experiencing significant momentum in product and service development driven by its focus on groundbreaking innovations such as the Blackwell chips, which are expected to greatly enhance market demand. The company's strong commitment to advancing AI technology through new models and partnerships underpins its growth in the sector. Continued investment in product development reflects Nvidia’s proactive approach to addressing industry challenges and meeting customer needs. However, competition in the tech industry and potential supply chain disruptions pose challenges to maintaining this upward trajectory.

The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The market sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.3, and the negative at -0.2 on 2024-10-17. The forces of and Valuation Sentiment (-1) will drive down the price. The forces of Stock Price Trend (0), Sector Price Trend (0), Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0), Market Risk Appetite (0), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.8) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

NVDA
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2024-10-170%(0%)    0    0%    0.1          1.8    -1   
2024-10-030%(0%)    0    0%    0.2          1.9    -1   
2024-09-180%(0%)    0    0%    0.2          2.4    -1   
2024-07-240%(0%)    0    0%    0.4          3.6    -1   
2024-06-260%(0%)    0    0%    0.4          3.3    -1   
2024-04-080%(0%)    0    0%    0.4          3.6    -1   
2024-03-280%(0%)    0    0%    0.4          3.6    -1   
2024-03-140%(0%)    0    0%    0.4          3.6    -1   
2024-03-020%(0%)    0    0%    0.4          3.4    -1   
2023-12-070%(0%)    0    0%    0.4          3.4    -1   
 
Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-05-18 21:42:11 Investors are speculating that AI is a transformative force for the market, driving investments in AI-related stocks while questioning market valuations and potential bubble risks.
2025-05-18 21:42:11 There are challenges regarding the deployment of Nvidia-based systems, leading to delays that could affect market expectations and earnings for cloud services.
2025-05-18 21:42:11 The overall semiconductor market is experiencing positive movements with strong performances from key players like TSMC, which is significantly impacting Nvidia's stock and others.
2025-05-18 21:42:11 Nvidia's stock has been hitting record highs, indicating strong investor confidence and recent bullish earnings reports that contribute to positive market sentiment.
2025-05-18 21:42:11 There's a strong and growing optimism in the market around AI chip stocks, particularly Nvidia, as seen in record stock highs and bullish outlooks.


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