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| Nvidia is significantly advancing in product and service development, particularly in AI technologies. The rollout of the H200 AI chip and ongoing projects in autonomous driving illustrate a strong position in innovative product offerings. Additionally, collaboration in AI-driven drug discovery enhances its impact on healthcare sectors. However, challenges with customer reception of certain products, like DGX Spark, highlight the complexities in market acceptance. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.8, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-13. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.9), Sector Price Trend (1), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), Option Sentiment (0.5), Stock Price Trend (0.1), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Valuation Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(1.4%) | 185.81 | 57 | 0.5% | -0.11% | 0.1 | 0.05% | 0.4% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.89 | 54 | 0.04% | -0.32% | 0.3 | 0.05% | 0.4% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| 2026-01-11 | 1%(2%) | 0.1 | -0.16% | 0.8 | 3.4 | 5.7 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 3%(2%) | 0.1 | -0.16% | 0.8 | 3.4 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.83 | 55 | -0.09% | -0.21% | 0.1 | -0.16% | 1% | 0.8 | Short | 65% | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| 2026-01-08 | 2%(2%) | 185 | 56 | -2.21% | -0.21% | -0.2 | -0.16% | 1.1% | 0.8 | Short | 65% | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1%(1.7%) | 189.18 | 74 | 1.01% | 0.32% | 0.4 | 0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 2026-01-06 | 4%(2%) | 187.28 | 67 | -0.45% | 0.32% | -0.1 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 1 | Short | 60% | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 2026-01-05 | 2%(1.7%) | 188.12 | 72 | -0.39% | 0.75% | 0.9 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1%(1.9%) | 1.3 | 0.33% | 0.7 | 3.1 | 6 | |||||||
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-13 22:47:54 The exploration of Nvidia's potential to be a major winner in the AI race emphasizes the competitive dynamics within the technology sector. |
| 2026-01-13 22:47:54 The article discusses Nvidia's ongoing leadership in the AI space, highlighting the significance of the company's strategies beyond just GPU technology. |
| 2026-01-13 17:50:45 Significant investments in AI chip startups, indicating a strong interest and belief in the future of AI technologies. |
| 2026-01-13 17:50:45 The impact of US regulations on the export of AI chips to China, highlighting the control over advanced technology transfer. |
| 2026-01-13 17:50:45 The growing competition in the AI chip market, particularly between established players like Nvidia and new entrants such as Etched. |
| 2026-01-13 17:00:36 The competitive factors surrounding Nvidia's position against other companies like AMD and Intel are discussed, raising concerns about market share as competition intensifies. |
| 2026-01-13 17:00:36 Articles suggest that AI stocks, including Nvidia, present lucrative investment opportunities, despite volatility, as investors remain optimistic about long-term growth. |
| 2026-01-13 17:00:36 Information regarding regulations in China limiting Nvidia's chip sales emphasizes concerns about regulatory obstacles affecting market access and growth potential. |
| 2026-01-13 17:00:36 Several articles highlight Nvidia's strategic collaborations and partnerships, particularly in the AI sector, aiming to leverage technology for advancements in various fields. |
| 2026-01-13 17:00:36 Multiple articles discuss Nvidia's stock trajectory, indicating mixed feelings among investors regarding its recent performance and future potential. |
| 2026-01-13 15:49:22 The stock is positioned as a top pick despite being a laggard recently, indicating potential for recovery. |
| 2026-01-13 15:49:22 The article highlights Nvidia's stock as an attractive investment opportunity due to its recent underperformance in the AI sector. |
| 2026-01-13 13:49:02 The significance of Nvidia's AI chips underscores the competitive landscape and the essential role of advanced semiconductor technology in the artificial intelligence sector. |
| 2026-01-13 13:49:02 China's vague directives regarding chip purchases signal potential supply chain disruptions and a cautious approach to technology procurement. |
| 2026-01-13 13:49:02 The Chinese government's restrictive measures on Nvidia chip purchases highlight the regulatory hurdles technology companies face in accessing critical resources in the market. |
| 2026-01-13 11:49:12 Michael Burry's criticism of Nvidia highlights concerns about the company's valuation in the context of the AI boom, suggesting a cautious approach to its stock. |
| 2026-01-13 11:49:12 The articles discuss the prospects of investing in AI-related companies, particularly Nvidia, indicating a positive outlook on AI technology investments. |
| 2026-01-13 09:35:16 There is ongoing uncertainty regarding Nvidia's sales to China, hinging on the approval of licenses, which may impact sales forecasts. |
| 2026-01-13 09:35:16 Nvidia has alleviated concerns regarding upfront payment requirements for its H200 chips, possibly improving customer relations. |