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| Nvidia is at the forefront of product and service development, particularly in AI and autonomous technologies. The potential approval of its H200 AI chips in China, coupled with ongoing advancements in AI platforms and autonomous driving, positions the company strongly for future growth. Furthermore, initiatives in fusion power and partnerships in AI for drug discovery showcase its innovative capabilities. However, internal conflicts regarding product launches highlight challenges in customer reception that the company must address. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.9, and the negative at -0 on 2026-01-14. The forces of Stock Price Trend (-0.1), and Valuation Sentiment (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0.5), Sector Price Trend (0.9), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.3), and Market Risk Appetite (2.4) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | 1%(1.4%) | 183.14 | 42 | -1.44% | -0.21% | -0.1 | -0.11% | 0.9% | 0.9 | Short | 65% | 2.3 | -0.6 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(1.4%) | 185.81 | 57 | 0.5% | -0.11% | 0.1 | 0.05% | 0.4% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.89 | 54 | 0.04% | -0.32% | 0.3 | 0.05% | 0.4% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| 2026-01-11 | 1%(2%) | 0.1 | -0.16% | 0.8 | 3.4 | 5.7 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 3%(2%) | 0.1 | -0.16% | 0.8 | 3.4 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.83 | 55 | -0.09% | -0.21% | 0.1 | -0.16% | 1% | 0.8 | Short | 65% | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| 2026-01-08 | 2%(2%) | 185 | 56 | -2.21% | -0.21% | -0.2 | -0.16% | 1.1% | 0.8 | Short | 65% | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1%(1.7%) | 189.18 | 74 | 1.01% | 0.32% | 0.4 | 0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 2026-01-06 | 4%(2%) | 187.28 | 67 | -0.45% | 0.32% | -0.1 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 1 | Short | 60% | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 2026-01-05 | 2%(1.7%) | 188.12 | 72 | -0.39% | 0.75% | 0.9 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| Short is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-14 22:48:22 The focus on major companies like Nvidia and AMD indicates that industry leaders may face significant challenges due to these regulatory changes. |
| 2026-01-14 22:48:22 The implementation of tariffs on semiconductors could lead to increased costs for companies like Nvidia and AMD, potentially impacting market dynamics. |
| 2026-01-14 17:50:28 The ongoing development of next-generation chips by Nvidia emphasizes its commitment to innovation, albeit amidst current challenges. |
| 2026-01-14 17:50:28 Nvidia faces stiff competition from new chip generations, which are outpacing its current offerings, affecting its market positioning. |
| 2026-01-14 17:50:28 Despite recent performance challenges, Nvidia is viewed positively on Wall Street due to its valuation, suggesting potential for future growth. |
| 2026-01-14 17:50:28 The imposition of tariffs on semiconductor sales to China is a significant regulatory hurdle impacting Nvidia and the broader tech industry. |
| 2026-01-14 17:00:35 Strategic partnerships, particularly with tech firms like Alphabet, enhancing Nvidia's capabilities and reinforcing its market dominance in AI infrastructure. |
| 2026-01-14 17:00:35 China's potential restrictions on imports of Nvidia's AI chips, which could impact the company's revenue and competitive edge in the Chinese market. |
| 2026-01-14 17:00:35 Fluctuations in Nvidia's stock price in response to external factors, including regulatory news and competitive dynamics in the AI market. |
| 2026-01-14 17:00:35 Nvidia's leadership in the AI chip market, driven by its advanced technology and growing demand for its products, positioning it favorably against competitors. |
| 2026-01-14 17:00:35 The impact of the U.S. government's export regulations on Nvidia's ability to sell chips to China, highlighting the tension between national security and business interests. |
| 2026-01-14 15:48:39 Nvidia's stock performance is negatively impacted due to reported restrictions in the Chinese market. |
| 2026-01-14 15:48:39 The influence of China's bans on technology and cybersecurity is affecting stock prices of companies like Nvidia and Broadcom. |
| 2026-01-14 11:49:59 There is speculation about Nvidia's stock performance based on upcoming events and market trends. |
| 2026-01-14 11:49:59 Nvidia's new chip developments are aimed at significantly reducing costs associated with AI, opening up potential future applications. |
| 2026-01-14 11:49:59 The theme reflects how Chinese restrictions on chip imports are affecting the supply chain and stock performance of Nvidia. |
| 2026-01-14 09:35:47 Nvidia's stock performance is directly tied to news related to regulatory changes, influencing market reactions and investor sentiment. |
| 2026-01-14 09:35:47 The articles discuss the finalized requirements by the Trump administration for Nvidia, highlighting the impact of regulatory decisions on the company's ability to operate in China. |