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| Large-cap stocks have recently shown resilience, largely influenced by geopolitical agreements and strong economic outlooks. Despite experiencing fluctuations, significant movements driven by major IPOs and peace deals have propelled indices higher. Concerns remain, however, as these stocks are trading below pre-war levels, indicating volatility ahead. The S&P 500 continues to be a leading benchmark reflecting these dynamics in the market. The price action of U.S. Large Cap (SPY) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SPY is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.9, and the negative at 0 on 2026-06-21. The forces of Asset Sentiment (3.6), Asset Price Trend (0.1), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SPY | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | 3%(0.6%) | 0.1 | 1 | 3.6 | 3 | |||||||||
| 2026-06-20 | 0%(0.1%) | 0.1 | 1 | 3.6 | 0 | |||||||||
| 2026-06-19 | 0%(0.1%) | 0.1 | 1 | 3.8 | 5 | |||||||||
| 2026-06-18 | 1%(0.1%) | 746.75 | 1.19% | 49 | 0.77% | -0.13% | 0.1 | -0 | 0.3% | 0.6 | Long | 55% | 3.5 | 5 |
| 2026-06-17 | 0%(0.1%) | 741.04 | 1.21% | 34 | -1.24% | -0.17% | 0.3 | -0.5 | 0.5% | 0.6 | Short | 55% | 3.4 | -1 |
| 2026-06-16 | 0%(0.1%) | 750.35 | 1.24% | 61 | -0.57% | -0.12% | 0.4 | -0.1 | 0.7% | 0.9 | Short | 55% | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| 2026-06-15 | 0%(0.3%) | 754.68 | 1.25% | 73 | 1.74% | -0.05% | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.1% | 0.9 | Long | 55% | 4.3 | 6.5 |
| 2026-06-14 | 0%(0.4%) | -0.1 | 1.1 | 4.3 | 7 | |||||||||
| 2026-06-13 | 0%(0.4%) | -0.1 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 5 | |||||||||
| 2026-06-12 | 0%(0.6%) | 741.78 | 1.25% | 41 | 0.54% | -0.2% | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8% | 0.9 | Long | 55% | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Oil at $100: The Stocks and Sectors That Could Win in an Iran War Shock Sun. Mar 8, 2026 | ||
| ● From AI Euphoria to Real Assets: Dow Drops 538 Points as Silver Surges 5.6% Fri. Feb 27, 2026 | ||
| ● Markets Split Between Risk and Caution: AI Stocks Slide While Defensive Assets Rise Thu. Feb 26, 2026 | ||
| ● Tariffs, AI Hype, and Safe-Haven Surge: Markets Navigate a New Wave of Uncertainty Mon. Feb 23, 2026 | ||
| ● Rally or Reckoning? Markets Soar While Jobs Stall — What Do Investors Really Believe? Fri. Jan 9, 2026 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (2) Wells Fargo revamps S&P 500 target for rest of 2026 The bank’s new forecast raises a major market question (https://www.thestreet.com/) Sun. Jun 21, 2026 | ||
| 2 (-6) Investors Flee Cathie Wood's ARKK ETF As It Trails S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 By Far Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF is shedding assets this year as it continues to underperform the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Sun. Jun 21, 2026 | ||
| 3 (5) Top Four S&P 500 Stocks To Watch Next Week: MU, CCL, FDX, PAYX The top S&P 500 Index companies to watch next week include popular names like Micron, Carnival, FedEx and Paychex. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Sun. Jun 21, 2026 | ||
| 4 (8) 3 AI Tech Stocks That Just Crushed Earnings: Are They Still Buys for the Long Term? Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Micron, and Palantir blew away analysts' expectations last quarter. (https://www.fool.com/) Sun. Jun 21, 2026 | ||
| 5 (9) Micron’s earnings are a must-watch market event — with profit growth approaching 1,000% Micron’s massive growth is “coming at nearly pure profit,” and that’s starting to have real implications for the S&P 500. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Sun. Jun 21, 2026 | ||
| 6 (-7) With all of the volatility in the stock market this year, most investors probably don't realize the S&P 500 (^GSPC +1.08%) is sitting at a precarious peak. The index's cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio now hovers near a reading of 41 -- a territory that historically signals serious trouble ahead. The S&P 500 CAPE ratio is at its second-highest reading in history. (https://www.fool.com/) Sun. Jun 21, 2026 | ||
| 7 (10) Micron’s earnings are a must-watch market event — with profit growth approaching 1,000% Micron’s massive growth is “coming at nearly pure profit,” and that’s starting to have real implications for the S&P 500. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Sun. Jun 21, 2026 | ||
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