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| Tesla is focusing on significant advancements in product performance and development, particularly with AI execution in its strategies. The ongoing transition to a subscription model for its Full Self-Driving service reflects a strategic shift in monetization, impacting both product offerings and market perception. However, the challenges surrounding the Cybertruck sales and production indicate potential weaknesses in execution. Overall, these dynamics illustrate a blend of opportunities and obstacles in Tesla's product development landscape. |
| The price action of Tesla (TSLA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for TSLA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-16. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-1.4), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-0.4), and Stock Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Sector Price Trend (0.1), Option Sentiment (0.5), and Market Risk Appetite (1.8) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TSLA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(0.7%) | 437.52 | 27 | -0.24% | -0.02% | -0.1 | 0.02% | 0.6% | 0.1 | Wait | 50% | -0.4 | -3 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1%(0.7%) | 438.57 | 26 | -0.13% | -0.25% | 0.5 | -0.11% | 0.8% | 0 | Short | 65% | -0.7 | 3.8 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2%(0.7%) | 439.15 | 25 | -1.78% | -0.34% | 0.7 | -0.11% | 1.3% | 0 | Long | 65% | -1.9 | -2.1 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(0.6%) | 447.09 | 32 | -0.4% | -0.29% | 0.5 | 0.02% | 0.6% | -0.2 | Long | 60% | -1.9 | 2.7 |
| 2026-01-12 | 0%(0.6%) | 448.88 | 33 | 0.87% | -0.58% | -0.4 | 0.14% | 1.4% | -0.5 | Long | 65% | -2 | 7 |
| 2026-01-11 | 0%(0.7%) | -0.2 | 0.09% | -0.7 | -2.1 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 0%(1%) | -0.2 | 0.09% | -0.7 | -2.2 | -5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 1%(1.3%) | 445.01 | 29 | 2.11% | -0.89% | -0.2 | 0.09% | 1.2% | -0.7 | Wait | 50% | -2.2 | -2.7 |
| 2026-01-08 | 1%(1.4%) | 435.8 | 16 | 1.02% | -1.1% | -0.6 | 0.05% | 0.5% | -0.7 | Wait | 50% | -2.2 | -3 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1%(1.7%) | 431.41 | 9 | -0.4% | -1.23% | -0.7 | -0.3% | 1.9% | -0.7 | Wait | 50% | -1.2 | -3.5 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (-4) Tesla granted more time in US investigation into its self-driving tech U.S. regulators have granted a five-week extension for Tesla to respond to allegations that its vehicles have broken traffic laws while operating in what the electric automaker calls “full self-driving” mode. An investigation of Tesla’s full-self driving feature was opened in October after the National Highway and Traffic Safety Administration said it had collected dozens of reports of the cars running red lights or driving on the wrong side of the road, sometimes crashing into other vehicles and causing injuries. The investigation covered 2.9 million vehicles, essentially all Teslas equipped with full self-driving technology, or FSD. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 2 (0) Tesla Stock Is Going Nowhere Fast. Here’s What Can Get It Moving. Tesla stock was edging higher early Friday but the electric-vehicle maker’s shares were still struggling for direction ahead of the company’s earnings later this month. (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 3 (-4) Gary Black Likes Elon Musk's Tesla But Not TSLA, Draws Comparison With Amazon—Says Nvidia 'Democratizes Autonomy' Gary Black shares that he exited his position in Elon Musk's Tesla due to concerns with its high valuation. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 4 (0) Is Tesla Stock a Buy Before Jan. 28? Tesla reports fourth-quarter earnings on Jan. 28. (https://www.fool.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 5 (-2) Tesla gets 5-week extension in US probe of Full Self-Driving traffic violations Jan 16 (Reuters) - U.S. auto safety regulators have granted Tesla (TSLA) a five-week extension to respond to an investigation into whether its vehicles violated traffic laws while the Elon Musk-led company's Full Self-Driving system was engaged. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 6 (2) Tesla’s Earnings Loom With Almost No Room for Error Tesla heads into earnings with its uptrend intact but sentiment split. The bulls are betting on long-term potential while the bears are urging caution. (https://www.marketbeat.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 7 (0) Cathie Wood Is Selling Tesla. Here’s the Chip Stock She’s Buying. ARK funds have been trimming Tesla holdings while adding positions in Broadcom and Klarna. (https://www.barrons.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 8 (7) Charlie Garcia's Street Sense Telsa isn’t just a car company — it’s an undervalued AI empire. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 9 (7) Tesla Stock Rises Amid Report Musk’s SpaceX Is Looking For Bankers. Why That Matters. Tesla stock was rising. A 2026 SpaceX IPO will fuel speculation about convergence between 3 of Elon Musk’s companies: Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. (https://www.barrons.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 10 (7) Tesla Stock Rises Amid Report Musk’s SpaceX Is Looking For Bankers. Why That Matters. Tesla stock was rising. A 2026 SpaceX IPO will fuel speculation about convergence between 3 of Elon Musk’s companies: Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI. (https://www.barrons.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 11 (2) Tesla’s Greatest Threat Is Being Boring For a company that sells cars, Tesla Inc.’s $1.5 trillion valuation puts it in a league of its own. The stock is seemingly immune to bad news, even a growing cacophony of competitive threats. The more insidious challenge could be something more, for lack of a better word, boring. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 12 (5) Tesla and xAI Ties Raise Questions About ‘Muskonomy’ The AI startup and public carmaker are headed for a tighter relationship. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 13 (8) Tesla Touts First-Of-Its-Kind Lithium Refinery In US — Elon Musk Calls It 'Largest' In America Tesla has revealed its new Lithium Refinery in Texas, aiming to boost battery production and local supply chains. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||