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| Tesla is focusing heavily on AI execution and leveraging advancements in technology for product development, especially with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) service transitioning to a subscription model. The development of the Optimus robot presents opportunities to revolutionize markets beyond automotive. However, challenges in achieving sales targets for the Cybertruck and potential issues related to product development strategies pose significant risks. Ongoing innovations in AI technology are essential for solidifying Tesla's market position. |
| The price action of Tesla (TSLA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for TSLA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.3, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-17. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-1.4), and Stock Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0), Sector Price Trend (0.1), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (0.1), and Market Risk Appetite (1.8) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TSLA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 1%(0.9%) | -0.1 | 0.02% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(0.7%) | 437.52 | 27 | -0.24% | -0.02% | -0.1 | 0.02% | 0.6% | 0.1 | Wait | 50% | -0.4 | -3 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1%(0.7%) | 438.57 | 26 | -0.13% | -0.25% | 0.5 | -0.11% | 0.8% | 0 | Short | 65% | -0.7 | 3.8 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2%(0.7%) | 439.15 | 25 | -1.78% | -0.34% | 0.7 | -0.11% | 1.3% | 0 | Long | 65% | -1.9 | -2.1 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(0.6%) | 447.09 | 32 | -0.4% | -0.29% | 0.5 | 0.02% | 0.6% | -0.2 | Long | 60% | -1.9 | 2.7 |
| 2026-01-12 | 0%(0.6%) | 448.88 | 33 | 0.87% | -0.58% | -0.4 | 0.14% | 1.4% | -0.5 | Long | 65% | -2 | 7 |
| 2026-01-11 | 0%(0.7%) | -0.2 | 0.09% | -0.7 | -2.1 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 0%(1%) | -0.2 | 0.09% | -0.7 | -2.2 | -5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 1%(1.3%) | 445.01 | 29 | 2.11% | -0.89% | -0.2 | 0.09% | 1.2% | -0.7 | Wait | 50% | -2.2 | -2.7 |
| 2026-01-08 | 1%(1.4%) | 435.8 | 16 | 1.02% | -1.1% | -0.6 | 0.05% | 0.5% | -0.7 | Short | 60% | -2.2 | -3 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (8) 'Nobody Will Remember Tesla Ever Made A Car:' Tech Investor Says Optimus Could Become Elon Musk's Biggest Legacy Tech investor Jason Calacanis said Tesla's Optimus robot could surpass the company's car business, calling it "the most transformative technology product ever made." (https://www.benzinga.com/) Sat. Jan 17, 2026 | ||
| 2 (0) Is Elon Musk's Move To Offer FSD As Subscription-Only Service Tied To Tesla Pay Package? As Elon Musk announced Tesla's FSD will only be available as a subscription service, is the move related to his trillion-dollar package? (https://www.benzinga.com/) Sat. Jan 17, 2026 | ||
| 3 (8) Musk Says Tesla Almost Done With AI5 Chip Design, Working on AI6 Tesla Inc. is almost finished with the design of the AI5 chip for its full self-driving system, and is in the early stages of developing the next version, AI6, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said in a post on X. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Sat. Jan 17, 2026 | ||
| 4 (-4) Tesla granted more time in US investigation into its self-driving tech U.S. regulators have granted a five-week extension for Tesla to respond to allegations that its vehicles have broken traffic laws while operating in what the electric automaker calls “full self-driving” mode. An investigation of Tesla’s full-self driving feature was opened in October after the National Highway and Traffic Safety Administration said it had collected dozens of reports of the cars running red lights or driving on the wrong side of the road, sometimes crashing into other vehicles and causing injuries. The investigation covered 2.9 million vehicles, essentially all Teslas equipped with full self-driving technology, or FSD. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 5 (0) Tesla Stock Is Going Nowhere Fast. Here’s What Can Get It Moving. Tesla stock was edging higher early Friday but the electric-vehicle maker’s shares were still struggling for direction ahead of the company’s earnings later this month. (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 6 (-4) Gary Black Likes Elon Musk's Tesla But Not TSLA, Draws Comparison With Amazon—Says Nvidia 'Democratizes Autonomy' Gary Black shares that he exited his position in Elon Musk's Tesla due to concerns with its high valuation. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 7 (0) Is Tesla Stock a Buy Before Jan. 28? Tesla reports fourth-quarter earnings on Jan. 28. (https://www.fool.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 8 (-2) Tesla gets 5-week extension in US probe of Full Self-Driving traffic violations Jan 16 (Reuters) - U.S. auto safety regulators have granted Tesla (TSLA) a five-week extension to respond to an investigation into whether its vehicles violated traffic laws while the Elon Musk-led company's Full Self-Driving system was engaged. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||