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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Fri. Apr 4, 2025

Recent developments indicate a strong focus on technological advancements in semiconductor manufacturing, with TSMC leading the charge in innovative chip technologies such as 3nm and 5nm nodes and the anticipated 2nm production. The strategic importance of foundry operations is underscored by the formation of joint ventures that could reshape the competitive landscape. Additionally, collaboration with industry leaders like Intel promises further improvements in chip production methodologies. These elements collectively position the company at the forefront of the semiconductor industry.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The market sentiment at 0.2 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for TSM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -0.2 on 2025-04-04. The forces of and Valuation Sentiment (-1) will drive down the price. The forces of Stock Price Trend (0), Sector Price Trend (0), Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0), Market Risk Appetite (0), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.4) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

TSM
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-04-040%(0%)    0    0%    0.2          2.4    -1   
2025-04-030%(0%)    0    0%    0.1          1.8    -1   
2025-04-020%(0%)    0    0%    0          1.2    -1   
2025-04-010%(0%)    0    0%    -0.1          0.6    -1   
2025-03-310%(0%)    0    0%    0.2          2    -1   
2025-03-280%(0%)    0    0%    0.2          2.1    -1   
2025-03-270%(0%)    0    0%    -0.1          0.7    -1   
2025-03-260%(0%)    0    0%    -0.2          -0.4    -1   
2025-03-250%(0%)    0    0%    0          1.1    -1   
2025-03-240%(0%)    0    0%    0.1          1.5    -1   
 
Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-05-19 14:38:58 The move to establish a joint venture focuses on the strategic development of foundry operations, potentially altering competitive dynamics in the semiconductor industry.
2025-05-19 14:38:58 Current market pressures, including fears of trade wars and inflation, are influencing overall stock performance and investor sentiment.
2025-05-19 14:38:58 Concerns regarding tariffs imposed by the government could jeopardize the tentative agreement between Intel and TSMC, affecting the chip industry's landscape.
2025-05-19 14:38:58 The growing attention from investors towards TSMC signals confidence in the company's future and its role in the semiconductor market.
2025-05-19 14:38:58 The formation of a joint venture between Intel and TSMC to enhance their manufacturing capabilities represents a significant collaboration in the chip industry.


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