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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Thu. Dec 11, 2025

The continued advancements in semiconductor production technologies, particularly with the introduction of 3nm and 2nm nodes, position the company favorably in the high-performance computing and AI markets. Driven by the escalating demand for AI technologies, the financial outlook and operational strategies are substantially strengthened. This surge in AI applications not only catalyzes growth but also fosters an innovative environment for product development. However, the rapid pace of technology evolution necessitates consistent investment and adaptation to stay competitive.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1 is bullish. The market sentiment at 0.8 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.2 on 2025-12-11. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.9), Sector Price Trend (1.3), Stock Price Trend (1), and Valuation Sentiment (0.6) will drive up the price. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-0.1), Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-01-15 06:30, EPS: $9.67, P/E: 31.53

TSM
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-12-110%(0%)      304.88 89    -1.68%    0.51%    1    0.07%    0.9%    0.9    Short    65%    3.9    -1   
2025-12-100%(0%)      310.09 109    2.03%    0.89%    1.6    0.23%    1.1%    1.3    Long    60%    3.9    -1   
2025-12-090%(0%)      303.93 102    0.67%    0.65%    1.3    0.13%    1.1%    1.6    Wait    50%    4.3    6   
2025-12-080%(0%)      301.91 101    2.46%    0.93%    1.6    0.17%    1.2%    1.7    Long    60%    3.4    -1   
2025-12-070%(0%)    1    0.14%    1.3          3.5    -1   
2025-12-060%(0%)    1    0.14%    1.1          3.6    -1   
2025-12-050%(0%)      294.67 82    0.6%    0.59%    1    0.14%    0.6%    1.2    Long    75%    3.3    -1   
2025-12-040%(0%)      292.92 77    -0.87%    0.38%    0.3    0.08%    0.7%    1.1    Wait    50%    2.6    -1   
2025-12-030%(0%)      295.48 87    1.11%    0.6%    1.1    0.28%    0.9%    1.1    Long    65%    1.9    -1   
2025-12-020%(0%)      292.25 74    1.52%    0.35%    0.8    0.2%    0.7%    0.9    Long    65%    2    8   
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Trend reverses after extremely bullish run with the elevated price level.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-12-11 17:01:52 Rising demand for AI technologies significantly boosts TSMC's financial outlook and operational strategies.
2025-12-11 17:01:52 The surge in options trading shows heightened investor interest and speculation on TSMC's future performance.
2025-12-11 17:01:52 Strong trends in emerging markets suggest that TSMC and similar companies may see continued growth.
2025-12-11 17:01:52 Berkshire Capital's significant increase in TSMC shares highlights investor confidence and potential for growth.
2025-12-11 17:01:52 Recent fluctuations in TSMC's stock price indicate volatility and investor concern.


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