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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Fri. Jan 9, 2026

Recent advancements in technology and production at TSMC, particularly with the commencement of 2nm chip production, reflect a strong commitment to innovation and maintaining a competitive edge in the semiconductor industry. TSMC's emphasis on future technology developments, including anticipated launches in 2026, is further positioning the company for significant growth. These initiatives underscore the industry's shift towards more powerful and efficient chip manufacturing processes. However, the fast-paced nature of technological advancements may also pose challenges to consistently meet projected timelines and evolving market demands.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.2 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.2 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.3, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-09. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.5), Valuation Sentiment (2), Stock Price Trend (1.2), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), and Sector Price Trend (0.9) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-01-15 06:30, EPS: $9.64, P/E: 33.56

TSM
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-090%(0.1%)      323.54 87    1.72%    0.77%    1.2    0.03%    0.7%    1.2    Wait    50%    3.5    6.3   
2026-01-080%(0.3%)      318.06 80    -0.22%    0.68%    0.9    -0.12%    1.1%    1.2    Short    65%    3.5    1.5   
2026-01-070%(0.4%)      318.77 84    -2.63%    0.85%    2    -0.09%    1.1%    1.4    Short    65%    3.8    6.5   
2026-01-060%(0.4%)      327.39 104    1.59%    1.25%    2.6    0.15%    1%    1.8    Long    60%    4.2    -1   
2026-01-051%(0.4%)      322.26 104    0.81%    1.27%    2    0.25%    2.4%    1.4    Long    60%    3.4    6.8   
2026-01-040%(0.3%)    2.1    0.53%    1.1          3.3    -1   
2026-01-030%(0.3%)    2.1    0.29%    1          3.2    -1   
2026-01-021%(0.3%)      319.68 110    5.18%    1.46%    2.1    0.29%    2.3%    0.7    Long    60%    2.8    7   
2026-01-011%(0.1%)    0.7    0.03%    0.7          3.1    4   
2025-12-310%(0%)      303.92 75    1.38%    0.58%    0.7    0.03%    0.8%    0.6    Long    65%    3.1    6.5   
 
Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-01-09 17:01:45 The commencement of 2nm chip production at TSMC highlights its ongoing technological advancements, positioning the company for future growth.
2026-01-09 17:01:45 Investor confidence remains high, with significant purchases of TSM shares indicating positive sentiment about the company's future prospects.
2026-01-09 17:01:45 TSMC's stock performance is positively impacted by recent sales figures and market expectations regarding future AI demand.
2026-01-09 17:01:45 Concerns about potential inflation in memory prices could impact TSMC's future growth, particularly regarding its 2026 revenue forecasts.
2026-01-09 17:01:45 Several articles highlight TSMC's strong revenue growth driven by increased demand for AI-related chips, pointing to robust financial performance.
2026-01-09 11:49:26 The increase in TSMC's stock value reflects positive market sentiment driven by booming sales and AI demand.
2026-01-09 11:49:26 TSMC's strong sales figures indicate robust earnings growth, which boosts investor confidence.
2026-01-09 11:49:26 The increasing adoption and investment in AI technology is positively affecting the stock market, specifically for companies like TSMC.
2026-01-09 09:35:29 While the stock rise is positive, there are concerns about a potential bubble in AI investments, suggesting caution amidst rapid growth.
2026-01-09 09:35:29 The increase in sales figures supports the company's financial health and potentially indicates future growth in the context of an expanding AI market.
2026-01-09 09:35:29 The rise in TSMC stock is attributed to the strong demand generated by the AI boom, indicating a positive correlation between technological advancements and financial performance.


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