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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Thu. Jan 15, 2026

The ongoing advancements in chip production, particularly with the initiation of 2nm chip production, position the company for significant growth. Additionally, TSMC's neutral investment approach appeals to investors looking for opportunities in AI without facing major competition risks. Their expansion efforts in Arizona, aimed at reducing tariffs, reflect a strategic commitment to enhancing operational capabilities and market reach. These factors collectively contribute to a robust development avenue in the semiconductor space.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.8 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.4 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.5, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-15. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.6), Stock Price Trend (1.8), Sector Price Trend (1.6), Market Risk Appetite (1.2), and Valuation Sentiment (0.3) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-04-15 10:00, EPS: $9.58, P/E: 35.67

TSM
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-154%(0.6%)      341.76 95    4.47%    1.18%    1.8    0.15%    2.5%    1.3    Long    60%    4.6    5.8   
2026-01-140%(0%)      327.15 79    -1.17%    0.84%    1.1    -0.06%    0.9%    1.2    Wait    50%    3.5    6.5   
2026-01-130%(0%)      331.03 88    -0.2%    0.95%    1    0.15%    1.3%    0.9    Long    75%    3.4    6   
2026-01-120%(0%)      331.69 94    2.52%    0.92%    1.1    0.22%    1.5%    0.6    Long    65%    3.3    4.7   
2026-01-110%(0.1%)    1.2    0.03%    1.2          3.5    -1   
2026-01-100%(0.1%)    1.2    0.03%    1.3          3.6    6   
2026-01-090%(0.1%)      323.54 87    1.72%    0.77%    1.2    0.03%    0.7%    1.2    Wait    50%    3.5    6.3   
2026-01-080%(0.3%)      318.06 80    -0.22%    0.68%    0.9    -0.12%    1.1%    1.2    Short    65%    3.5    1.5   
2026-01-070%(0.4%)      318.77 84    -2.63%    0.85%    2    -0.09%    1.1%    1.4    Short    65%    3.8    6.5   
2026-01-060%(0.4%)      327.39 104    1.59%    1.25%    2.6    0.15%    1%    1.8    Long    60%    4.2    -1   
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-01-15 22:48:01 TSMC's efforts to bridge the technology gap with U.S. firms indicate a competitive landscape in the semiconductor industry, driving innovation and development.
2026-01-15 22:48:01 The trade deal involving tariff relief reflects ongoing regulatory influences in U.S.-Taiwan relations impacting technology and semiconductor industries.
2026-01-15 22:48:01 Positive market responses to the strong earnings reported by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. indicate investor confidence in AI and tech sectors.
2026-01-15 22:48:01 The articles highlight significant investments in chip manufacturing, particularly by TSMC, which is expanding operations in the U.S. amid trade agreements.
2026-01-15 17:50:07 A significant trade agreement between the US and Taiwan highlights collaborative efforts in the chip industry.
2026-01-15 17:50:07 TSMC's strong financial results have a direct positive effect on tech stock valuations, reflecting investor optimism.
2026-01-15 17:50:07 TSMC's record earnings result in a stock rally, indicating strong performance which boosts investor confidence.
2026-01-15 17:50:07 Articles highlight the increasing demand for AI technologies leading to positive earnings in the semiconductor sector.
2026-01-15 17:01:35 Articles touch on regulatory concerns and geopolitical influences on TSMC and the semiconductor market.
2026-01-15 17:01:35 TSMC's announced capital expenditures for 2026 reflect confidence in expanding production to meet AI demands.
2026-01-15 17:01:35 The articles discuss how TSMC's earnings and market activities affect the overall stock market, particularly in the semiconductor sector.
2026-01-15 17:01:35 Numerous articles emphasize TSMC's exceptional earnings reports, boosting investor confidence and fueling stock performance.
2026-01-15 17:01:35 The ongoing strong demand for AI chips is a recurring focus, highlighting the industry's growth and TSMC's role within it.
2026-01-15 15:48:49 TSMC's stock is outperforming others in the market, showing strong investor confidence.
2026-01-15 15:48:49 Increasing trends in investing in semiconductor and AI technologies as a result of positive financial signals from key players.
2026-01-15 15:48:49 The positive earnings from TSMC have reignited interest in AI-focused investments and the broader technology sector.
2026-01-15 15:48:49 The performance of TSMC indicates a significant shift in the semiconductor industry, moving away from established leaders like Nvidia.
2026-01-15 15:48:49 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. is showing exceptional earnings and performance, suggesting robust financial health.
2026-01-15 13:49:25 The articles explore how TSMC's performance is part of a larger narrative surrounding AI's impact on market dynamics and investor sentiment.
2026-01-15 13:49:25 The positive earnings results from TSMC restore confidence in the technology sector, particularly among tech stocks amidst previous rotation fears.
2026-01-15 13:49:25 TSMC's substantial increase in capital expenditures for AI-related initiatives reflects a strong commitment to investing in this growing sector.
2026-01-15 13:49:25 The articles highlight TSMC's impressive earnings and significant revenue generation, indicating a strong financial performance.
2026-01-15 11:50:25 The importance of TSMC's suppliers in the chipmaking ecosystem as seen through their performance and forecast amid AI demand.
2026-01-15 11:50:25 The positive movement in TSMC's stock price following favorable earnings reports and outlooks reflecting investor confidence.
2026-01-15 11:50:25 TSMC's increased capital expenditures indicating confidence in future growth and the strategic direction of investments.
2026-01-15 11:50:25 TSMC's earnings surpassing analyst expectations, indicating a robust financial performance in a growing market.
2026-01-15 11:50:25 The significant increase in demand for AI technologies and related products, as evidenced by TSMC's strong outlook and rising profits.
2026-01-15 09:36:56 TSMC's optimistic revenue forecasts for the coming years indicate strong growth potential and market confidence.
2026-01-15 09:36:56 TSMC's performance affects various companies in its supply chain, contributing to overall market gains.
2026-01-15 09:36:56 Positive earnings reports from TSMC have led to increased stock prices and optimism in tech markets.
2026-01-15 09:36:56 The growing demand for advanced AI technologies is positively impacting TSMC's revenue outlook.
2026-01-15 09:36:56 TSMC reports record earnings driven by robust demand for AI chips, highlighting its strong financial health.


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