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| Taiwan Semiconductor is adopting a neutral investment approach while proactively expanding operations in Arizona, reflecting a strategic focus on growth within the semiconductor industry. The company's efforts to minimize tariffs align with enhancing production efficiency and meeting rising demand, particularly in the AI sector. Additionally, TSM's expansions position itself favorably amid global competition, presenting the firm as a reliable investment choice. However, maintaining a neutral sentiment in a highly competitive market could pose challenges. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.9 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.5 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.6, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-16. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.8), Stock Price Trend (1.9), Market Risk Appetite (1.8), Sector Price Trend (1.4), and Valuation Sentiment (0.2) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TSM | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(0.7%) | 342.44 | 92 | 0.2% | 0.71% | 1.9 | 0.24% | 2.2% | 1.4 | Long | 60% | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| 2026-01-15 | 4%(0.6%) | 341.76 | 95 | 4.47% | 1.18% | 1.8 | 0.15% | 2.5% | 1.3 | Long | 60% | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| 2026-01-14 | 0%(0%) | 327.15 | 79 | -1.17% | 0.84% | 1.1 | -0.06% | 0.9% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.5 | 6.5 |
| 2026-01-13 | 0%(0%) | 331.03 | 88 | -0.2% | 0.95% | 1 | 0.15% | 1.3% | 0.9 | Long | 75% | 3.4 | 6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 0%(0%) | 331.69 | 94 | 2.52% | 0.92% | 1.1 | 0.22% | 1.5% | 0.6 | Long | 65% | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| 2026-01-11 | 0%(0.1%) | 1.2 | 0.03% | 1.2 | 3.5 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 0%(0.1%) | 1.2 | 0.03% | 1.3 | 3.6 | 6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 0%(0.1%) | 323.54 | 87 | 1.72% | 0.77% | 1.2 | 0.03% | 0.7% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.5 | 6.3 |
| 2026-01-08 | 0%(0.3%) | 318.06 | 80 | -0.22% | 0.68% | 0.9 | -0.12% | 1.1% | 1.2 | Short | 65% | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 2026-01-07 | 0%(0.4%) | 318.77 | 84 | -2.63% | 0.85% | 2 | -0.09% | 1.1% | 1.4 | Wait | 50% | 3.8 | 6.5 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (6) Earnings season looks 'good' so far, but is it too early to tell? Earnings season is underway, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) and all six Big Banks having reported quarterly results this week. Oppenheimer chief investment strategist John Stoltzfus, who is also one of Wall Street's biggest bulls, joins Morning Brief host Julie Hyman to discuss his outlook for earnings season. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 2 (8) TSMC Stock Rises as It Plans $56 Billion Splurge on AI Chip Making. What Really Matters. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing will spend up to $56 billion on capital expenditures this year. It was taken as a vote of confidence in AI but it could be influenced by a U.S.-Taiwan trade deal. (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 3 (8) TSMC's Record Quarter: The Numbers Wall Street Is Overlooking (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 4 (7) TSMC Stock Rises as It Plans $56 Billion Splurge on AI Chip Making. What Really Matters. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing will spend up to $56 billion on capital expenditures this year. It was taken as a vote of confidence in AI but it could be influenced by a U.S.-Taiwan trade deal. (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 5 (3) CNBC Daily Open: TSMC earnings draw investors' eyes back to AI Thursday offered markets a rare respite from nonstop geopolitical upheaval. Yet the week's headlines still reflected larger global dynamics. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 6 (8) TSMC is set to expand its $165 billion U.S. investment — here’s what we know TSMC is set to accelerate its multibillion-dollar expansion in Arizona, coming off the back of a U.S.-Taiwan trade agreement and strong earnings. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 7 (6) TSMC Eyes Smaller Tech Gap Between US and Taiwan Chipmaking Fabs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. will try to accelerate the transfer of its advanced chipmaking expertise to the US in the future, though it will still develop and maintain its most cutting-edge fabrication techniques at home. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 8 (8) Taiwan Semiconductor's record quarter renewed investors' faith in AI stocks, Jim Cramer says CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed Thursday's market action. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 9 (6) Trump Administration Offers Tariff Relief In Exchange For $250 Billion Taiwan Chip Investment — TSMC Weighs Arizona Expansion, Says Howard Lutnick The Trump administration struck a U.S.–Taiwan trade deal offering tariff relief in exchange for $250 billion in chip investments in America, as TSMC weighs expanding its Arizona footprint while Washington warns of steep penalties for companies that fail to build in the U.S. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 10 (7) Silver Swings Wildly After Trump Holds Back On Critical Mineral Tariffs: Dow Futures In The Green After Strong Tech Rally U.S. stock futures are in the green on Thursday night, following a rally during the regular session, powered by the strong earnings performance of chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (NYSE: TSM). (https://www.benzinga.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 11 (8) Chip Stocks Are Soaring. An Industry Giant’s Results Sent This Signal About AI Demand Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported quarterly results that topped analysts' estimates on growing AI demand. (https://www.investopedia.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 12 (8) TSMC Is the Safest Bet in AI After Record Earnings Chip-fab market leader TSMC has started 2026 with a bang while the sector surges in Asia. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 13 (8) $500 Billion... US-Taiwan Agree Huge Chip Trade Deal ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 14 (3) TSMC earnings beat lifts semiconductors higher; USD & yields rise on hot claims data - Newsquawk US Market Wrap ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 15 (8) TSMC's Strong Earnings Sparked a Tech Stock Rally Thursday. What Does It Mean for the AI Trade? Record earnings from contract chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. sparked big stock gains Thursday, suggesting there's still gas in the tank to fuel the AI rally. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 16 (8) AI trade back on? The company behind chip leaders like Nvidia and AMD just raised its spending forecast Robust earnings results from chip manufacturing giant TSMC just gave a huge lift to the AI trade. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 17 (7) TSMC Stock Is Crushing Nvidia In 2026 — Here Are 3 ETFs That Cut Magnificent 7 Risk Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. is outperforming Nvidia early in 2026 after a blowout earnings report, signaling a shift in chip leadership and renewed interest beyond the Magnificent Seven. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 18 (8) These stocks are the biggest winners as TSMC earnings supercharge the AI trade Taiwan Semiconductor is making a lot of money — and spending heavily within the AI ecosystem. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 19 (6) TSMC Earnings Reset the AI Narrative After Rotation Fears Hit Tech Stocks Market Analysis by covering: Nasdaq 100, Applied Materials Inc, Apple Inc, Lam Research Corp. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 20 (0) Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited Overview Find the latest Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) stock quote, history, news and other vital information to help you with your stock trading and investing. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 21 (8) TSMC's Q4 earnings & AI demand: The company is 'killing it' Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) reported fourth quarter earnings and guidance that beat analyst estimates. Notably, TSMC increased its capital expenditures (CapEx) budget for the year to the $52–56 billion range. Baird Tech strategist Ted Mortonson joins Morning Brief host Julie Hyman to discuss comments from TSMC's CEO Che-Chia Wei on the earnings call. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 22 (8) These stocks are the biggest winners as TSMC earnings supercharge the AI trade Taiwan Semiconductor is making a lot of money — and spending heavily within the AI ecosystem. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 23 (8) U.S.-listed shares of TSMC climb 5% after profit surges on soaring AI demand U.S.-listed shares of TSMC climb 5% after profit surges on soaring AI demand (https://www.investing.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 24 (8) Prediction: TSMC Stock Will Soar After Jan. 15 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's upcoming results could give the stock a boost. (https://www.fool.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 25 (8) TSMC earnings: Will suppliers overshadow the Mag 7 this year? Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) reported fourth quarter earnings and guidance that beat analyst estimates. Notably, TSMC increased its capital expenditures (CapEx) budget for the year to the $52–56 billion range. Crossmark Global Investments chief market strategist Victoria Fernandez, Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Brooke DiPalma, and Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Ines Ferré join Opening Bid host Brian Sozzi to discuss the results and what they could mean for suppliers and chipmakers in the artificial intelligence (AI) trade. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Opening Bid. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 26 (8) TSMC’s Strong Outlook Fires Up Hopes of Sustained AI Boom It also foresees revenue growth of close to 30% in 2026, faster than the average analyst estimate. TSMC’s ADRs climbed as much as 5.6% in US trading, while shares in key supplier ASML Holding NV rose as much as 8% to a record in Europe, sending its market value beyond $500 billion. The outlook from TSMC — a bellwether for the artificial intelligence boom — reflects a development frenzy by the likes of Meta Platforms Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. that’s spurred demand for Nvidia Corp. accelerators. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 27 (3) TSMC earnings lifts sentiment for Europe and US; ahead are a slew of Fed speakers and weekly claims - Newsquawk US Opening News ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 28 (7) TSMC's Bullish AI Outlook Prompts Goldman To Say 'Anyone Hoping For A Pullback Will Get Disappointed' ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 29 (7) Futures Jump As Blowout TSMC Earnings Reboot Tech Trade ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 30 (8) TSMC breaks big revenue milestone — and sends these stocks soaring TSMC’s stock jumps 5% after announcing a stonking set of 4Q numbers that have positive implications the companies it supplies and those who supply it. (https://www.barrons.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 31 (9) TSMC delivers another record quarter as profit jumps 35% fueled by robust AI chip demand TSMCy delivered another estimate-beating quarter, with profit up 35% from a year ago as advanced chip orders tied to AI continued to dominate its business. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 32 (8) TSMC: Strong Results Point to Sustained Momentum Into the Coming Quarters Market Analysis by covering: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 33 (0) Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited Overview Find the latest Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) stock quote, history, news and other vital information to help you with your stock trading and investing. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 34 (8) TSMC’s Strong Outlook Fires Up Hopes of Sustained AI Boom It also foresees revenue growth of close to 30% in 2026, faster than the average analyst estimate. Shares in key supplier ASML Holding NV rose 7.6% to a record in Europe, sending its market value beyond $500 billion. The outlook from TSMC — a bellwether for the artificial intelligence boom — reflects a development frenzy by the likes of Meta Platforms Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. that’s spurred demand for Nvidia Corp. accelerators. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||
| 35 (8) TSMC breaks big revenue milestone — and sends these stocks soaring TSMC’s stock jumps 5% after announcing a stonking set of 4Q numbers that have positive implications the companies it supplies and those who supply it. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Thu. Jan 15, 2026 | ||