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| The significant expansion in Arizona represents a major strategic move aimed at enhancing production capabilities while minimizing tariff impacts. This initiative underscores TSMC's commitment to growth in the highly competitive semiconductor market, allowing for increased efficiency and better alignment with customer needs. By establishing a presence in the United States, the company can also strengthen its supply chain and address increasing domestic demand. Overall, this initiative highlights the company's proactive approach to future challenges and opportunities in the sector. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.9 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.6 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.6, and the negative at 0 on 2026-01-17. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.8), Stock Price Trend (1.9), Market Risk Appetite (1.8), Sector Price Trend (1.4), Valuation Sentiment (0.6), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TSM | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 0%(0.7%) | 1.9 | 0.24% | 1.6 | 4.8 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(0.7%) | 342.44 | 92 | 0.2% | 0.71% | 1.9 | 0.24% | 2.2% | 1.4 | Long | 60% | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| 2026-01-15 | 4%(0.6%) | 341.76 | 95 | 4.47% | 1.18% | 1.8 | 0.15% | 2.5% | 1.3 | Long | 60% | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| 2026-01-14 | 0%(0%) | 327.15 | 79 | -1.17% | 0.84% | 1.1 | -0.06% | 0.9% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.5 | 6.5 |
| 2026-01-13 | 0%(0%) | 331.03 | 88 | -0.2% | 0.95% | 1 | 0.15% | 1.3% | 0.9 | Long | 75% | 3.4 | 6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 0%(0%) | 331.69 | 94 | 2.52% | 0.92% | 1.1 | 0.22% | 1.5% | 0.6 | Long | 65% | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| 2026-01-11 | 0%(0.1%) | 1.2 | 0.03% | 1.2 | 3.5 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 0%(0.1%) | 1.2 | 0.03% | 1.3 | 3.6 | 6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 0%(0.1%) | 323.54 | 87 | 1.72% | 0.77% | 1.2 | 0.03% | 0.7% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.5 | 6.3 |
| 2026-01-08 | 0%(0.3%) | 318.06 | 80 | -0.22% | 0.68% | 0.9 | -0.12% | 1.1% | 1.2 | Short | 65% | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (6) Earnings season looks 'good' so far, but is it too early to tell? Earnings season is underway, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) and all six Big Banks having reported quarterly results this week. Oppenheimer chief investment strategist John Stoltzfus, who is also one of Wall Street's biggest bulls, joins Morning Brief host Julie Hyman to discuss his outlook for earnings season. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 2 (8) TSMC Stock Rises as It Plans $56 Billion Splurge on AI Chip Making. What Really Matters. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing will spend up to $56 billion on capital expenditures this year. It was taken as a vote of confidence in AI but it could be influenced by a U.S.-Taiwan trade deal. (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 3 (8) TSMC's Record Quarter: The Numbers Wall Street Is Overlooking (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 4 (7) TSMC Stock Rises as It Plans $56 Billion Splurge on AI Chip Making. What Really Matters. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing will spend up to $56 billion on capital expenditures this year. It was taken as a vote of confidence in AI but it could be influenced by a U.S.-Taiwan trade deal. (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 5 (3) CNBC Daily Open: TSMC earnings draw investors' eyes back to AI Thursday offered markets a rare respite from nonstop geopolitical upheaval. Yet the week's headlines still reflected larger global dynamics. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||
| 6 (8) TSMC is set to expand its $165 billion U.S. investment — here’s what we know TSMC is set to accelerate its multibillion-dollar expansion in Arizona, coming off the back of a U.S.-Taiwan trade agreement and strong earnings. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Jan 16, 2026 | ||