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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Sat. Apr 4, 2026

One Week Return: 3.73%, One Month Return: -5.19%, Three Month Return: 6.04%

Sector: Semiconductors

The ongoing expansion of AI capacity at TSMC is central to its product and service development strategy, positioning the company to capitalize on the growing demand for AI technology. With a strong commitment to enhancing its AI capabilities, TSMC is likely to see substantial increases in future revenue. This focus not only drives innovation but also solidifies TSMC's competitive edge in the semiconductor market. However, the rapidly evolving tech landscape poses challenges in keeping pace with industry standards and competition.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. The market sentiment at 0.3 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.7, and the negative at -0.4 on 2026-04-04. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.4), Valuation Sentiment (0.7), Sector Price Trend (0.6), Stock Price Trend (0.6), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Market Risk Appetite (-2.2) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-04-16 06:30, EPS: $10.34, P/E: 32.78

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TSM
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-04-040%(0%)    0.6       0.3          2.4    6   
2026-04-030%(0%)    0.6       0.4          2.6    -1   
2026-04-020%(0%)      338.99 2.54%    51    -0.73%    0% 0.6    0    1%    0.4    Long    55% 2.9    -1   
2026-04-010%(0%)      341.47 2.7%    55    1.04%    0.06% -0.5    0    1%    0.2    Short    55% 2.4    -1   
2026-03-310%(0%)      337.96 2.96%    44    6.84%    -0.24% -0.7    -0.5    2.5%    -0.4    Short    55% 1.8    -1   
2026-03-300%(0%)      316.31 3.28%    -10    -3.21%    -0.71% -2.8    -0.5    2.7%    -0.7    Short    70% 1.7    -1   
2026-03-290%(0%)    -1.3    -0.5    -0.4          1.8    -1   
2026-03-280%(0%)    -1.3    -0.5    -0.6          1.4    -1   
2026-03-270%(0%)      326.79 3.2%    10    0.19%    -0.35% -1.3    -0.5    2.6%    -0.5    Short    55% 1.9    -1   
2026-03-260%(0%)      326.18 3.59%    8    -6.21%    -0.29% -1.7    -1.4    2.4%    -0.4    Short    55% 1.7    -1   
 
Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Analysis
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026

2026-04-04 17:47:38 The comparison between TSMC and Nvidia focuses on their competitive advantages in the AI sector, highlighting the competitive dynamics within the industry.
2026-04-04 17:47:38 The article discusses the potential of TSMC and Nvidia as solid stocks for long-term investment, indicating a positive outlook on their stock performance.
2026-04-04 17:01:20 The timing of the stock reduction corresponds with quarterly earnings cycles, which can influence investor behavior and company stock valuations.
2026-04-04 17:01:20 Element Squared LLC's decision to sell shares suggests active management and leadership strategies to optimize their investment portfolio.
2026-04-04 17:01:20 The article hints at ongoing trends in the semiconductor industry that may influence investment decisions, driven by market dynamics and company performances.
2026-04-04 17:01:20 The decrease in position by Element Squared LLC may reflect the broader market sentiment towards the semiconductor sector, showcasing potential concerns among investors.
2026-04-04 17:01:20 The article discusses a significant change in investment strategy by Element Squared LLC regarding its holdings in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, indicating a cautious approach towards semiconductor stocks.


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