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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Tue. Apr 14, 2026

One Week Return: 10.05%, One Month Return: 12.3%, Three Month Return: 16.16%

Sector: Semiconductors

The company is at the forefront of technological advancements in chip manufacturing, particularly with its progress toward 3nm and 2nm node technology. This innovation not only enhances efficiency but also strengthens its competitive position in the semiconductor industry. Continuous investment in R&D and a strong focus on cutting-edge technology are key drivers of growth. However, the high costs and complexities associated with developing these new technologies can pose significant risks.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 4.3 is extremely bullish. The market sentiment at 2 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 2.3, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-04-14. The forces of Sector Price Trend (6.4), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.3), Stock Price Trend (4.3), and Market Risk Appetite (2) will drive up the price. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-0.2), Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (-1) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-04-16 06:30, EPS: $10.45, P/E: 36.37

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TSM
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-04-140%(0.1%)      380.03 4.3%    103    2.79%    1.83% 4.3    0.5    1.2%    2.1    Long    70% 4.3    -1   
2026-04-130%(0.1%)      369.71 3.87%    96    -0.23%    1.22% 3.3    -0.1    0.9%    1.9    Wait    50% 3.9    8   
2026-04-120%(0.1%)    3.6    -0.1    2          3.9    -1   
2026-04-110%(0.1%)    3.6    -0.1    2          3.9    -1   
2026-04-101%(0.1%)      370.58 3.51%    105    1.38%    1.32% 3.6    0    1%    1.8    Long    70% 3.6    7   
2026-04-090%(0%)      365.53 3.07%    106    -0.08%    0.53% 2.1    0    1%    1    Long    70% 3    -1   
2026-04-080%(0%)      365.82 2.79%    114    5.94%    0.65% 2.6    0    1%    1    Long    70% 2.8    -1   
2026-04-070%(0%)      345.31 2.45%    70    1.04%    0.21% 1.8    0    1%    1.1    Long    65% 2.6    -1   
2026-04-060%(0%)      341.77 2.53%    58    0.82%    0.39% 1.3    0    1%    1.1    Long    55% 3.3    -1   
2026-04-050%(0%)    0.6    0    0.3          2.9    -1   
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Analysis
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026

2026-04-14 17:01:34 Increasing investments in TSMC and the semiconductor sector indicating confidence in the industry's growth potential.
2026-04-14 17:01:34 The performance of TSMC's stock as it correlates with the expectations of future earnings and market trends.
2026-04-14 17:01:34 Positive expectations surrounding the upcoming earnings reports from major companies, including TSMC, suggesting optimism for financial performance.
2026-04-14 17:01:34 Concerns regarding geopolitical tensions affecting market stability and the supply chain for semiconductor manufacturing.
2026-04-14 17:01:34 The rapid increase in demand for AI infrastructure and advanced semiconductor chips, particularly driven by TSMC's performance amidst geopolitical tensions.


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