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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Mon. Aug 10, 2026

One Week Return: 3.03%, One Month Return: -3.61%, Three Month Return: 1.7%

Sector: Semiconductors

Recent developments highlight significant challenges in product development, particularly regarding costs and market conditions that may hinder timely releases. However, the emphasis on technological investment and innovation showcases the commitment to enhancing chip production capabilities, reflecting optimism for future advancements. Overall, while challenges exist, the robust focus on innovation may pave the way for overcoming obstacles in the industry. The interplay of these factors is crucial in shaping the future trajectory of product development.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.8 is bullish. The market sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-08-10. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.1), Stock Price Trend (0.8), Valuation Sentiment (0.7), Sector Price Trend (0.6), Market Risk Appetite (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Option Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-10-15 06:00, EPS: $12, P/E: 34.87

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TSM
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
RSIHourly
RSI
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-08-100%(0%)      418.49 2.86%    69    47   56   -0.34%    0.47% 0.8    -0.3    0.5%    0.9    Wait    50% 4.1    7.3   
2026-08-090%(0%)    0.6    -0.3    1.1          3.4    -1   
2026-08-080%(0%)    0.6    -0.3    1          3.2    -1   
2026-08-070%(0%)      419.91 2.88%    72    57   48   0.44%    0.4% 0.6    0.2    0.6%    0.8    Long    55% 2.8    -1   
2026-08-060%(0%)      418.06 3.13%    65    58   54   1.03%    0.07% 0.3    -0.2    0.6%    1    Short    55% 3    -1   
2026-08-050%(0%)      413.79 3.44%    55    51   49   -0.79%    -0.2% 0.5    -0.1    1.2%    1.2    Wait    50% 3.3    -1   
2026-08-040%(0%)      417.09 3.67%    58    49   80   2.68%    -0.17% 0.2    0.5    1.5%    1    Long    55% 3.4    -1   
2026-08-030%(0%)      406.19 3.92%    39    44   51   0.46%    0.1% -0.3    0.2    0.6%    0.7    Long    55% 3.3    -1   
2026-08-020%(0%)    -0.2    0.2    1.1          2.8    -1   
2026-08-010%(0%)    -0.2    0.2    1.1          2.7    -1   
 
Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Analysis
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026

2026-08-10 17:01:07 TSMC's announcement of a $64 billion capital investment into expansion highlights its commitment to increasing production capacity amidst high demand.
2026-08-10 17:01:07 Despite strong revenue figures, TSMC's stock performance seems muted, indicating mixed investor sentiment despite positive earnings.
2026-08-10 17:01:07 The competition between TSMC and Intel emphasizes differing financial positions and strategies within the semiconductor market, particularly in response to the AI boom.
2026-08-10 17:01:07 TSMC's revenue growth by 45% year-on-year showcases its strong performance, which is positively influencing stock performance and market outlook.
2026-08-10 17:01:07 The significant demand for semiconductors driven by advancements in AI technology is reflected in TSMC's strong revenue growth and sales figures.
2026-08-10 11:48:22 A surge in revenue within the semiconductor industry suggests ongoing growth and demand for chip-related products.
2026-08-10 11:48:22 The rise in shares of semiconductor tool makers reflects a positive investor response to the earnings news, indicating upbeat market sentiment.
2026-08-10 11:48:22 The significant increase in revenue reported by Taiwan Semiconductor indicates strong financial performance and a positive outlook for the company.
2026-08-10 09:33:31 TSMC's partnerships with major tech companies like Nvidia and Google highlight the competitive dynamics in the semiconductor industry driven by AI advancements.
2026-08-10 09:33:31 TSMC's impressive July sales performance reflects its strong earnings, showcasing the firm's growth potential within the competitive AI chip market.
2026-08-10 09:33:31 The rising demand for AI chips significantly drives sales and revenue in the semiconductor industry, as evidenced by TSMC's substantial revenue increase.


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