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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Wed. Sep 23, 2026

One Week Return: 6.88%, One Month Return: 6.66%, Three Month Return: 2.33%

Sector: Semiconductors

Taiwan Semiconductor is actively pushing the boundaries of product development, exemplified by its accelerated advancement of the A14 process technology, indicating a robust commitment to innovation. Key talent development initiatives reflect an investment in human resources critical for sustaining high growth and maintaining industry leadership. Additionally, ongoing infrastructure developments, such as the construction of an advanced packaging park, provide essential support for scaling operations and product capabilities. These factors collectively position the company for future growth and competitiveness in the semiconductor landscape.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.4 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.2 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.4, and the negative at -0.2 on 2026-09-23. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3), Market Risk Appetite (2.7), Sector Price Trend (2.3), and Stock Price Trend (1.4) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), and Valuation Sentiment (-0.6) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-10-15 06:00, EPS: $13.81, P/E: 32.35

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TSM
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
RSIHourly
RSI
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-09-230%(0%)      446.79 2.59%    92    65   61   -1.13%    0.26% 1.4    0.1    0.9%    1.1    Long    55% 3    7   
2026-09-220%(0%)      451.89 2.41%    110    69   92   1.55%    0.3% 1.7    0.7    1.5%    1.1    Long    70% 3    -1   
2026-09-210%(0%)      444.99 2.16%    105    66   81   2.48%    0.4% 1.4    0.8    1.3%    1.1    Wait    50% 3    -1   
2026-09-200%(0%)    0.7    0.8    0.7          3    -1   
2026-09-190%(0%)    0.7    0.8    0.9          2.8    -1   
2026-09-180%(0%)      434.24 1.92%    85    60   74   0.98%    0.4% 0.7    0.4    1.3%    0.8    Long    55% 2.9    5   
2026-09-170%(0%)      430.02 1.86%    76    52   79   2.87%    0.33% 0.6    0.7    1.4%    0.7    Long    55% 3.2    -1   
2026-09-160%(0%)      418.01 1.92%    42    50   57   1%    0.09% -0.2    0.1    0.6%    0.5    Long    55% 3.7    -1   
2026-09-150%(0%)      413.89 1.97%    30    48   26   -1.1%    -0.02% -0.8    -0.5    1.7%    0.3    Short    55% 3.3    -1   
2026-09-140%(0%)      418.51 1.98%    42    55   31   -3.39%    0.02% -0.4    -0.6    1.4%    0.8    Short    55% 3.5    -1   
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Improving trend sentiment and positive hourly trend.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Analysis
● Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026

2026-09-23 17:02:12 TSMC's targets for volume production of new technologies signal ongoing industry trends towards advancing semiconductor capabilities and meeting market demand.
2026-09-23 17:02:12 The role of sell-side analysts and their recommendations is significant in shaping market perceptions and guiding investment decisions regarding TSMC.
2026-09-23 17:02:12 The advancement of TSMC's A14 process technology and its ahead-of-schedule tape-outs reflects active product development and innovation in the tech sector.
2026-09-23 17:02:12 Optimistic analyst recommendations and media coverage influence investor sentiment towards TSMC, potentially impacting stock performance.
2026-09-23 17:02:12 Taiwan Semiconductor's dominant share in the foundry market indicates a strong competitive advantage in the semiconductor industry, particularly in next-gen data centers.
2026-09-23 15:53:57 The increasing demand for advanced technology in data centers highlights a growing trend in the semiconductor industry.
2026-09-23 15:53:57 Taiwan Semiconductor's significant market share positions it as a leader in the next-generation data center chip industry.


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