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Sector: Semiconductors
| Taiwan Semiconductor's strategy focuses on significant expansion within the US market, bolstered by plans for new campuses aimed at enhancing domestic chip manufacturing capabilities. Coupled with advancements in technology, particularly in High-NA lithography, the company is poised to elevate its production capabilities and maintain its competitive edge. This dual approach of geographic and technological enhancement underscores TSMC's commitment to innovation and market relevance. However, challenges such as competition and potential regulatory hurdles could impact the effectiveness of these strategies. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.8 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.3 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.4, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-10-06. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.8), Stock Price Trend (1.8), Valuation Sentiment (1.4), Sector Price Trend (1.3), and Market Risk Appetite (0.9) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| TSM | ||||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | RSI | Hourly RSI | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | 0%(0.1%) | 482.41 | 4.07% | 96 | 88 | 60 | -0.72% | 0.68% | 1.8 | -0 | 1% | 1.3 | Long | 70% | 3.8 | -1 |
| 2026-10-05 | 0%(0.1%) | 485.91 | 3.67% | 109 | 93 | 84 | 2.75% | 0.88% | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.1% | 0.9 | Long | 70% | 4.1 | 7 |
| 2026-10-04 | 0%(0.1%) | 2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4.2 | -1 | ||||||||||
| 2026-10-03 | 1%(0.1%) | 2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 6 | ||||||||||
| 2026-10-02 | 0%(0%) | 472.92 | 3.24% | 102 | 86 | 80 | 3% | 0.87% | 2 | 0.5 | 1.5% | 1.4 | Long | 70% | 4.3 | -1 |
| 2026-10-01 | 0%(0%) | 459.14 | 3.12% | 86 | 67 | 52 | 0.63% | 0.65% | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4% | 1.9 | Long | 55% | 4.1 | 7 |
| 2026-09-30 | 0%(0%) | 456.27 | 3.14% | 85 | 68 | 49 | -0.16% | 0.88% | 1.6 | -0.3 | 0.6% | 1.8 | Long | 65% | 3.8 | 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | 0%(0%) | 457.01 | 3.13% | 90 | 63 | 70 | 0.9% | 0.98% | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.8% | 1.9 | Long | 55% | 4.3 | 6.7 |
| 2026-09-28 | 0%(0%) | 452.91 | 3.05% | 88 | 58 | 56 | 0.51% | 0.78% | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4% | 2.3 | Long | 55% | 3.9 | -1 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0%(0%) | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 4.2 | -1 | ||||||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| 2026-10-06 17:01:16 Analysts are optimistic about TSMC's future growth potential, correlating its valuation with expected performance driven by strong AI demand and technological advancements. |
| 2026-10-06 17:01:16 The competitive landscape in the semiconductor industry is intensifying, driven by advancements in AI and technology, which affect leading companies like TSMC. |
| 2026-10-06 17:01:16 Recent fluctuations in TSMC's stock performance, influenced by market reactions to earnings reports and strategic developments, reflect investor sentiment and market volatility. |
| 2026-10-06 17:01:16 Ongoing collaborations and potential partnerships, such as the talks between TSMC and Terafab, highlight strategic alliances that shape market dynamics in the semiconductor sector. |
| 2026-10-06 17:01:16 The strong demand for AI technology is positively impacting company earnings, particularly for TSMC, which is seen as a key player in the AI semiconductor industry. |