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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Fri. Oct 9, 2026

One Week Return: -4.15%, One Month Return: 4.07%, Three Month Return: 3.76%

Sector: Semiconductors

Recent technological advancements, particularly TSMC's progress in 2nm node technology, have positioned the company favorably within the semiconductor manufacturing sector. These innovations provide significant competitive advantages, enhancing performance while reducing power consumption. However, the rapid pace of technological change necessitates continuous investment in research and development to maintain a leading edge. Additionally, global supply chain disruptions could pose challenges to scaling production efficiently.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.8 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for TSM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.9, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-10-09. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-0.4), Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Stock Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Valuation Sentiment (0.6), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.1) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-10-15 06:00, EPS: $13.81, P/E: 32.82

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TSM
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
RSIHourly
RSI
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-10-090%(0.1%)      453.28 4.3%    54    55   28   -1.05%    0.06% -0.1    -0.2    1.9%    0.8    Short    55% 4.1    -1   
2026-10-080%(0.1%)      458.08 4.34%    61    63   22   -2.98%    0.15% 0.5    -1    1.9%    0.7    Wait    50% 4.2    7   
2026-10-070%(0.1%)      472.16 4.29%    80    76   20   -2.12%    0.54% 1.3    -0.4    1.2%    1.1    Wait    50% 4    7   
2026-10-060%(0.1%)      482.41 4.07%    96    88   60   -0.72%    0.68% 1.8    -0    1%    1.3    Long    70% 3.8    -1   
2026-10-050%(0.1%)      485.91 3.67%    109    93   84   2.75%    0.88% 2.3    0.7    2.1%    0.9    Long    70% 4.1    7   
2026-10-040%(0.1%)    2    0.7    1.1          4.2    -1   
2026-10-031%(0.1%)    2    0.7    1.3          4.2    6   
2026-10-020%(0%)      472.92 3.24%    102    86   80   3%    0.87% 2    0.5    1.5%    1.4    Long    70% 4.3    -1   
2026-10-010%(0%)      459.14 3.12%    86    67   52   0.63%    0.65% 1.4    0.3    0.4%    1.9    Long    55% 4.1    7   
2026-09-300%(0%)      456.27 3.14%    85    68   49   -0.16%    0.88% 1.6    -0.3    0.6%    1.8    Long    65% 3.8    3   
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Analysis
● Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026

2026-10-09 17:01:02 There is discussion comparing TSMC's current positioning and capabilities against ASML, highlighting competitive dynamics in the semiconductor industry.
2026-10-09 17:01:02 Analysts are predicting key upcoming earnings for TSMC, with expectations rooted in strong demand across the technology sector.
2026-10-09 17:01:02 There is a strong interest from investors in TSMC, especially in terms of how their business decisions are perceived within the semiconductor market.
2026-10-09 17:01:02 The rising demand for AI chips is a central theme, with discussions on how it is positively influencing TSMC's stock and market position.
2026-10-09 17:01:02 There is significant focus on the performance and valuation of TSMC stocks, highlighting their recent increases and overall market sentiment.
2026-10-09 13:47:03 The article discusses expectations regarding the stock's direction based on historical performance, showing a positive outlook for investors.
2026-10-09 13:47:03 The anticipation of Q3 earnings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing indicates a focus on financial performance and potential stock movement.


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