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Sector: Semiconductors
| The landscape of semiconductor product and service development is heavily influenced by advancements in technology, particularly in AI and cutting-edge manufacturing processes. TSMC's commitment to pioneering technologies, such as the upcoming 2nm node and the current focus on 3nm chip production, highlights its innovative strength and competitiveness. Additionally, the emphasis on AI showcases significant growth potential within the sector, driving demand for advanced semiconductor solutions. However, the industry faces challenges related to production costs and potential supply chain disruptions. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -1.5 is very bearish. The market sentiment at 0.4 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for TSM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.6 on 2026-10-14. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-1.9), Stock Price Trend (-1.5), Valuation Sentiment (-1), and Option Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.8) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| TSM | ||||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | RSI | Hourly RSI | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 1%(0.1%) | 430.08 | 3.46% | 10 | 39 | 22 | -3.38% | -0.56% | -1.5 | -1.3 | 2.2% | 0.4 | Short | 55% | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| 2026-10-13 | 0%(0%) | 445.12 | 3.61% | 37 | 49 | 32 | 0.12% | -0.26% | -0.7 | -0.8 | 1.8% | 0.3 | Short | 55% | 4.4 | -1 |
| 2026-10-12 | 0%(0%) | 444.59 | 4.08% | 40 | 46 | 26 | -1.92% | -0.17% | -0.8 | -0.9 | 1.9% | 0.5 | Short | 55% | 4.3 | -1 |
| 2026-10-11 | 0%(0%) | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.9 | 3.8 | -1 | ||||||||||
| 2026-10-10 | 0%(0%) | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.9 | 3.9 | -1 | ||||||||||
| 2026-10-09 | 0%(0.1%) | 453.28 | 4.3% | 54 | 55 | 28 | -1.05% | 0.06% | -0.1 | -0.2 | 1.9% | 0.8 | Short | 55% | 4.1 | -1 |
| 2026-10-08 | 0%(0.1%) | 458.08 | 4.34% | 61 | 63 | 22 | -2.98% | 0.15% | 0.5 | -1 | 1.9% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 4.2 | 7 |
| 2026-10-07 | 0%(0.1%) | 472.16 | 4.29% | 80 | 76 | 20 | -2.12% | 0.54% | 1.3 | -0.4 | 1.2% | 1.1 | Wait | 50% | 4 | 7 |
| 2026-10-06 | 0%(0.1%) | 482.41 | 4.07% | 96 | 88 | 60 | -0.72% | 0.68% | 1.8 | -0 | 1% | 1.3 | Long | 70% | 3.8 | -1 |
| 2026-10-05 | 0%(0.1%) | 485.91 | 3.67% | 109 | 93 | 84 | 2.75% | 0.88% | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.1% | 0.9 | Long | 70% | 4.1 | 7 |
| Short is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (7) TSMC Earnings Will Surge but Terafab and Texas Talks Are in Focus Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is forecast to report booming profit but the real intrigue comes in its talks with Elon Musk over his Terafab project. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Oct 14, 2026 | ||
| 2 (7) TSMC Earnings Will Surge but Terafab and Texas Talks Are in Focus Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is forecast to report booming profit but the real intrigue comes in its talks with Elon Musk over his Terafab project. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Oct 14, 2026 | ||
| 3 (-3) History Says This Happens to Taiwan Semiconductor Stock After Oct. 15 Taiwan Semiconductor's stock doesn't always react well to earnings reports. (https://www.fool.com/) Wed. Oct 14, 2026 | ||
| 4 (8) What analysts are watching with key semiconductor maker TSMC set to report results Analysts at JPMorgan and Citigroup see further revenue growth for the semiconductor foundry, even after already posting a record-breaking figure for the third quarter. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Wed. Oct 14, 2026 | ||
| 5 (7) What analysts are watching with key semiconductor maker TSMC set to report results Analysts at JPMorgan and Citigroup see further revenue growth for the semiconductor foundry, even after already posting a record-breaking figure for the third quarter. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Wed. Oct 14, 2026 | ||