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Sector: Semiconductors
| Recent advancements in AI technology stand out as a major driver of growth and innovation. TSMC's emphasis on producing cutting-edge semiconductors, particularly in the 3nm range, underscores its leadership in the industry. This dual focus enables the company to cater to evolving market demands while maintaining a competitive edge. However, the rapid pace of technological change necessitates continuous adaptation and investment in R&D. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -2.4 is extremely bearish. The market sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for TSM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.9, and the negative at -0.8 on 2026-10-16. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-2.5), Stock Price Trend (-2.4), Valuation Sentiment (-1), and Option Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (0), Price Level Sentiment (1), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.5) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| TSM | ||||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | RSI | Hourly RSI | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | 0%(0.3%) | 414.99 | 4.15% | -5 | 32 | 34 | -1.79% | -1.27% | -2.4 | -0.4 | 2.6% | 0.1 | Short | 70% | 4.5 | -1 |
| 2026-10-15 | 1%(0.3%) | 422.55 | 3.68% | 0 | 36 | 29 | -1.75% | -0.8% | -1.7 | -0.4 | 3% | 0.1 | Short | 70% | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 2026-10-14 | 1%(0.1%) | 430.08 | 3.46% | 10 | 39 | 22 | -3.38% | -0.56% | -1.5 | -1.3 | 2.2% | 0.3 | Short | 55% | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| 2026-10-13 | 0%(0%) | 445.12 | 3.61% | 37 | 49 | 32 | 0.12% | -0.26% | -0.7 | -0.8 | 1.8% | 0.3 | Short | 55% | 4.3 | -1 |
| 2026-10-12 | 0%(0%) | 444.59 | 4.08% | 40 | 46 | 26 | -1.92% | -0.17% | -0.8 | -0.9 | 1.9% | 0.4 | Short | 55% | 3.8 | -1 |
| 2026-10-11 | 0%(0%) | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.9 | 3.9 | -1 | ||||||||||
| 2026-10-10 | 0%(0%) | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.9 | 4.1 | -1 | ||||||||||
| 2026-10-09 | 0%(0.1%) | 453.28 | 4.3% | 54 | 55 | 28 | -1.05% | 0.06% | -0.1 | -0.2 | 1.9% | 0.9 | Short | 55% | 4.2 | -1 |
| 2026-10-08 | 0%(0.1%) | 458.08 | 4.34% | 61 | 63 | 22 | -2.98% | 0.15% | 0.5 | -1 | 1.9% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 4 | 7 |
| 2026-10-07 | 0%(0.1%) | 472.16 | 4.29% | 80 | 76 | 20 | -2.12% | 0.54% | 1.3 | -0.4 | 1.2% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 3.8 | 7 |
| Short is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very weak. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (-3) TSMC stock drops despite record profit amid 'extremely robust demand' for AI chips TSMC stock sank even after the company reported quarterly results that beat Wall Street estimates. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 2 (8) TSMC’s Record Earnings Show AI Demand Is Outrunning Rate Concerns Market Analysis by covering: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing ADR. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 3 (5) TSMC chip capacity is ‘fierce’ battleground for AI customers, amid record quarter TSMC had a record quarter, but it can't make chips for everyone as Nvidia, Apple, Broadcom and AMD fight for capacity. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 4 (8) TSMC Q3 profit surges to record high on AI demand; says considering Texas fab Investing.com-- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, or TSMC, clocked a stronger-than-expected third-quarter profit on Thursday, with earnings hitting another record high on robust demand from the artificial intelligence industry. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 5 (9) TSMC’s CEO sees no sign of a slowdown as chip foundry reports record profit The semiconductor foundry announced third-quarter net profits of 763.34 Taiwanese new dollars, marking a record. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 6 (5) Can robust TSMC earnings help settle AI jitters? Can robust TSMC earnings help settle AI jitters? (https://www.investing.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 7 (-3) TSMC stock sinks despite record profit amid 'extremely robust demand' for AI chips TSMC stock sank even after the company reported quarterly results that beat Wall Street estimates. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 8 (8) TSMC posts record profit for a sixth straight quarter, beating estimates on AI boom TSMC reported its third-quarter earnings on Thursday. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 9 (0) TSMC earnings report, inflation report, and latest mortgage rate: What to Watch Market Domination Overtime host Brooke DiPalma takes a closer look at the top stories for investors to watch on Thursday, October 15, including the latest quarter earnings report from TSMC (TSMC34.SA), new inflation data, and an updated mortgage rate. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 10 (8) TSMC posts record profit amid 'extremely robust demand' for AI chips TSMC reported quarterly revenue as investors look for clues about the health of the AI trade. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||
| 11 (8) TSMC’s CEO sees no sign of a slowdown as chip foundry reports record profit The semiconductor foundry announced third-quarter net profits of 763.34 Taiwanese new dollars, marking a record. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Thu. Oct 15, 2026 | ||